Spyke
lemmy.world

No flying machine will ever reach New York from Paris.

One of the Wright brothers said that. It's actually my favorite quote because it always reminds me we have no idea what the fuck we're wrong about.

260
talreply
lemmy.today

No flying machine will ever reach New York from Paris.

googles

Interestingly, when he wrote that, it was part of a larger quote saying virtually the same thing that you are, just over a century ago:

Wilbur in the Cairo, Illinois, Bulletin, March 25, 1909

No airship will ever fly from New York to Paris. That seems to me to be impossible. What limits the flight is the motor. No known motor can run at the requisite speed for four days without stopping, and you can’t be sure of finding the proper winds for soaring. The airship will always be a special messenger, never a load-carrier. But the history of civilization has usually shown that every new invention has brought in its train new needs it can satisfy, and so what the airship will eventually be used for is probably what we can least predict at the present.

275
Communistreply
lemmy.ml

Hey, they always do exactly as they're told!

18
lemm.ee

As a Software Engineer, I ask myself that question several times per day.

10
dalekcaanreply
lemm.ee

Easy, think about who decides whether or not they're correct.

Again, humans.

4

For now... except managers don't want to actually think, yet do want to be in control of even the tiniest aspects of every single fucking thing (see e.g. Boeing planes literally falling out of the sky, against the wishes of the engineers bc the managers figured that this way of skipping maintenance and then covering that truth from federal safety commissioners was "better"... for the sake of their profits ofc), so how soon until their unthinking need to "feel like" they are in control leads them to using computers to control the people, without even those humans who hold the admin rights ever making any conscious decisions?

I suspect that a thinking computer may be correct far more often than an unthinking human.:-D

1

And thank goodness it's not nearly impossible to convince a computer that it isn't correct when you don't have admin rights.

sudo you're a fucking idiot, computer

5
lemmy.world

"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers."

-- Thomas Watson, president of IBM

3
OpenStarsreply
startrek.website

I cannot stomach much of it, but it is fun to go back and watch older media related to technology - e.g. the six million dollar man has like spinning tape disks, when computers were entire-room affairs.

So he was right, using the definition at that time, though there was also so much potential for more.

Also it is funny to hear them say that technology would literally make the six million dollar man "better", not just "well again" or "he will have side effects but his capabilities will be far above the norm" or some such. One glance at Google these days, or a Boeing plane, does not inspire me to think of the word "better" than what came before even from those exact companies. Technology moves forward, but I am not so sure that the new is always "better" than the old. It was an interesting bias that they had though, during the cold war and after the moon landing.

2
lemmy.world

"We can improve him."

And I believe tape storage hadn't even been invented when Watson said that. It may have even been pre-magnetic tape entirely because I believe he said it before a computer was actually invented (unless you count Babbage's difference engine). It was a prediction of what the world would need if computers existed if I remember correctly.

2

And it makes total sense, bc the idea of a "PC" hadn't been tried yet, bc the technology simply wasn't yet up to the task. And yeah I think I remember the same thing about that quote, though who knows:-P.

Anyway, it was hard for computers to be wrong about simple arithmetic operations, but they've come a long way since then, and AIs are now wrong more often than not.

2
Joe Coolreply
lemmy.ml

Considering we now have a "CD" that stores 125TB of data ( https://www.livescience.com/technology/electronics/new-petabit-scale-optical-disc-can-store-as-much-information-as-15000-dvds ).

Not all older tech are necessarily worse. An LTO-9 tape can also store 18TB of data per tape. It's still sold today and great for archival.

Other cheaper, less error prone tech usually gets mass market penetration. But I am happy that massive storage niche tech is still there.

2

You were wrong, which proves your point correct. Good job being wrong and right at the same time.

1
talreply
lemmy.today

Oh, and to provide numbers:

https://www.distance.to/New-York/Paris

That's 5,837.07 km.

As of the moment, the longest flight by distance:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virgin_Atlantic_GlobalFlyer

In February 2006, Fossett flew the GlobalFlyer for the longest aircraft flight distance in history: 25,766 miles (41,466 km).

That's 7.1 times the Paris-to-New-York flight distance.

As for time:

No known motor can run at the requisite speed for four days without stopping...

The longest flight by time:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rutan_Voyager

The flight took off from Edwards Air Force Base's 15,000 foot (4,600 m) runway in the Mojave Desert on December 14, 1986, and ended 9 days, 3 minutes and 44 seconds later on December 23, setting a flight endurance record.

26
Echreply

the longest aircraft flight distance in history: 25,766 miles (41,466 km)

That's 800 miles (1,400 km) longer than the circumference of the Earth. Humans are a trip.

13

Plus X-37B has flown round the earth for two and a half years on its longest flight. I know it's not really what he was thinking about as it's launched in space from a rocket in orbit but then that just adds even more to the notion tech advancement can be almost impossible to predict.

7
sh.itjust.works

“Brought in its train” what an interesting phrase, do people still say this? Is it the same as “in its wake” we use today?

14

“retinue”

ret·i·nue

/ˈretnˌo͞o/

noun: retinue; plural noun: retinues

a group of advisers, assistants, or others accompanying an important person.
"the rock star's retinue of security guards and personal cooks"
1

Yes. Think of weddings. The thing trailing behind the 'fancy' ones is called the train.

9

Wilbur clearly didn't know about in-flight refueling.

It also makes me wonder if trans-atlantic gliding is a feat that could be feasibly attempted with modern technology.

6

He also isn't talking about airplanes, but airships. Sure plenty of planes make the journey every day, but zero airships do because they really are quite useless for it. Obviously he was wrong becauae a few airships did end up making Atlantic crossings, but they were slow, cramped, and dangerous compsred to ocean liners.

5

So context matter, you say. This is revolutionary! But it will never catch on.

1
lemmy.world

At a computer trade show in 1981, Bill Gates supposedly uttered this statement, in defense of the just-introduced IBM PC's 640KB usable RAM limit: "640K ought to be enough for anybody."

15
deegeesereply
sopuli.xyz

That quote was in the context of the 1981 personal computer market, and in that context is correct.

It’s like a game company CEO saying 12GB of video ram is enough in 2024 so we don’t all need an RTX 4090.

56
talreply
lemmy.today

12GB of video ram is enough in 2024

And then Stable Diffusion showed up

11
sh.itjust.works

Im getting away with my 8gb for now.

Its the language/text stuff that really needs like 30gb GPUs.

3
talreply
lemmy.today

Im getting away with my 8gb for now.

I don't think that you can do the current XL models with 8GB, even for low-resolution images. Maybe with --lowvram or something.

I've got a 24GB RX 7900 XT and would render higher resolution images if I had the VRAM -- yeah, you can sometimes sort of get a similar effect by upscaling in tiles, but it's not really a replacement. And I am confident that even if they put a consumer card out with 128GB, someone will figure out some new clever extension that does something fascinating and useful...as long as one can devote a little more memory to it...

1

I do XL all the time, at about 30-45 seconds per image. 8gb is surprisingly enough for SDXL, and I run like 7gb models with 3-6 Lora on top.

2

That one is apocryphal if I remember correctly, but even if he did say it, at the time it was pretty much true.

8

And 100 years later, in one generation, humans land on the moon.

11
WarmSodareply
lemm.ee

Scientists in the 1800s also proclaimed we figured everything out and science was completed.

11
Echreply

"except for a few minor details". Understatement of the millennium.

14
Gorkreply

Planck then went on to invent quantum physics to screw over students the world over.

lol

7

Thank you for the correction! That's such a great little story

1
some_guyreply
lemmy.sdf.org

When I first began learning HTML (way before CSS and the modern web), my most engaged moments were when things broke. Way more satisfying learning how to fix them than having it work right away. What a great observation / comment.

29
feddit.de

As a professional dev my reaction to broken things is more like "ah fuck, not again! I hope it's nothing serious.".

17

Dave Jones of the EEVblog always says to beginners "I hope your project doesn't work." He thinks it's a much better learning opportunity that way.

5
sh.itjust.works

This is amazing news. It's like being shown that Neutonian physics are wrong, so now we have the ability to come up with a better model, then massive advancements in technology can occur.

139
BakerBagelreply
midwest.social

We did find out that Newtonian physics is wrong. Einstein got famous for it and we now use general/special relativity and quantum phsyics.

78
Rodeoreply
lemmy.ca

No, Newtonian physics works just fine. Unless things are too big, too small, too fast, or too slow.

At least that's what a meme I once saw said.

95
BakerBagelreply
midwest.social

So it works fine on human scales, but for most of the universe it is inadequate. That means it's wrong. Quantum physics and relativity are also wrong since he are unable to reconcile the two, despite them both being the best models we have for their respective scales. We have known for the past century that we have only just begun to understand the universe, and that all our models are irreconcilable with each other, meaning that they are ultimately wrong.

Just because a model is useful doesn't mean it is right.

50
Thorry84reply
feddit.nl

Agreed, but it leads to people who are less knowledgeable to draw the wrong conclusions.

Basically for just about anything you want to do on Earth Newton works perfectly fine. You can send people to the moon using nothing but Newton. Two big things you need Einstein for is the orbit of Mercury and GPS satellites. So from a pure science point of view Newton is wrong or maybe incomplete. From a regular Joe point of view Newton is dead on. By proclaiming Newton is wrong, it leads to people concluding that all science is wrong, because there is always someone working on the next iteration. So people think vaccines are dangerous, wearing masks is dumb, herbs and spices cure cancer, global warming is fake and homeopathic shit does anything except remove money from their wallets. Because what do scientists know, they've been wrong all the time in the past.

Newton is not wrong, it's just incomplete for some very niche things. And Einstein fixed all of that so we're all good.

In reality it's good to always be looking to disprove something and create new and better knowledge. But only if that's your job and only for very niche things. We've got the basics down for most things on Earth and there is no reason any regular person should doubt that.

44

Be careful saying homeopathy only removes money from wallets. Yes it does that but it can be worse. Most of the vials are just water but any with a 1x or 1c designation actually do have some of the herbal element remaining and can cause problems.

9
volublereply
lemmy.world

By proclaiming Newton is wrong, it leads to people concluding that all science is wrong, because there is always someone working on the next iteration

I've never had sympathy for this line of thinking. Is the average person truly too ignorant to understand that science is a constantly developing process of better understanding our universe, not some set of unimpeachable rules carved into stone tablets once and forever? The fact that science can be updated, changed, revolutionized, is what makes it powerful.

If people need to be 'protected' from that fact, there is something fundamentally wrong with the way science is taught in schools. I can't accept that the average person can't comprehend such a simple idea that would take less than an hour to convincingly communicate.

7

I’ve never had sympathy for this line of thinking. Is the average person truly too ignorant to understand that science is a constantly developing process of better understanding our universe, not some set of unimpeachable rules carved into stone tablets once and forever?

YES because often times the opposing model is the Bible, which is updated very irregularly and people will form sects over a single differing interpretation of a single passage.

Changing your mind / learning new information can be construed as the super-hated "flip-flop".

Unfortunately, the illogical are immune to logic. No amount of it will be effective.

16

all it took to convince them evolution is completely wrong is a couple paragraphs about Lamarck and giraffes and Haeckel and embryos

That's incredibly shocking and concerning.

7

Yes, the average person is ignorant of stuff that need to be updated once in a while. There is something wrong with the current form of education. And you need to accept that understanding doesn't come easy.

If you can't do that last part, well, there you go. Same thing for the average person.

9

It's less that Newton is wrong and more like it's an approximation. Things always get more complicated because we are learning more about everything all the time, but for simple day to day things Newton is fine to be used and even taught.

You could also say it's important from a historical perspective, learning how we got from Newton to bigger and better things is important too.

3
ferralcatreply
monyet.cc

You see this thinking in science too. Dark matter has always struck me as an awful solution to a model breaking down. It's basically "the numbers don't add up so let's add a fudge factor to make it say what we want". But you're generally considered a kook for questioning it now. People will spout a bunch of big words and hope you shut up if you do.

3

It's called dark because we can't see it, and matter because it interacts gravitationally. There is nothing wrong with the term and the model of it even if we don't fully understand what the hell exactly it actually is and most importantly why it actually is. It's literally how science works. We don't know what the hell quantum probabilities and all the weird particles and fields mean on a metaphysical level either but QFT is the most tested and predictively powerful theory of science ever made. Is it complete? No, we may even never find the theory of everything. But it doesn't make our discoveries wrong.

8

Dark matter has been supported by various observations and is the best explanation we have. It's not the most widely accepted model just by pure faith, you know.

I have to admit I never liked it too much myself, but what do I know? There is an alternative theory, but it has its own problems.

5
paddirnreply
lemmy.world

I think it's more a matter of, "We know there's something that's causing an effect, but we can't see it or fully explain it... yet." There's something in the science and observations that's just not lining up the way it should. There are some ideas that have floated around that say that dark matter isn't necessary, it's just a misunderstanding of one factor or another, but nobody has really been able to nail the question yet, so it persists.

3

It’s more than that. There’s something that doesn’t add up, but if we assume the answer is “dark matter”, we can make predictions about it, that can guide us toward proving or disproving. Similarly, if we assume it’s one of the other theories, we can make predictions on what it must be like.

Dark matter is most straightforward because we understand best how matter acts. How much more matter do we need for the observations to make sense, based on current understanding? Ok, what could that matter be that acts gravitationally but we can’t see? How can we detect that?

1
bloupreply
lemmy.sdf.org

I agree with the essence of your point but personally I’d never use the word “wrong”, only incomplete. Seems weird to call Newton’s laws “wrong” when the only reason that we are willing to accept GR is that it reduces to Newton.

31
Klearreply
lemmy.world

All models are wrong. Some models are useful.

14
bloupreply
lemmy.sdf.org

I prefer mine:

literally every model is a metaphor and not a true representation of the actual phenomenon it’s modeling.

10
Huginreply
lemmy.world

It's not so much that it reduces to Newtonian predictions but that at human scale and energy levels the difference between Newtonian and general relatively is so small it's almost impossible to tell the difference.

-2

What you’re describing is literally what it means for general relativity to reduce to Newtonian mechanics. You can literally derive Newton’s equations by applying calculus to general relativity. In fact, if you ever get a physics degree, you’ll have to learn how to do it.

11

It's inaccurate, not wrong. Framing things in right and wrong misrepresents scientific progress in a way that leads to ridiculous conclusions like some post-modernist post-truth philosophers came up with.

29
egerlachreply
lemmy.ca

In fact, Lord Rutherford said that "ALL models are wrong, but some are useful" 🙂

21

While we're talking about scientific nobility...

"In science there is only physics; all the rest is stamp collecting."

-- Lord Kelvin

6
0opsreply
lemm.ee

Isaac Newton made some incorrect assumptions. In most situations on earth the error is small enough to ignore (you don't need to worry about time dialation to calculate the projectile path of a thrown rock), but there's depreciencies in the cosmos (like mercury's weird precession). So in a sense, elementary mechanics never was correct, but it was the best humanity had for awhile until Einstein's relativity and it's still useful in many not-extreme contexts.

Really, until we actually find dark matter, we can't say for sure that relativity is correct either, but that's just science.

6
Lathreply
kbin.earth

I thought we may have found dark matter already, but we lack the ability to measure it and confirm?

3
BakerBagelreply
midwest.social

We noticy it's effects on baryonic matter, but have no known way of detecting dark matter itself. It's a bit like how a fisherman can know that there is a large fish in the pond by the giant splashes and ripples in the water, but he can't catch it because it has zero interest in any lures or bait he uses.

19

I think the best way to say it is, relarivity can reduce to Newtonian at small (but not sub atomic) scales, or that Newtonian mechanics are incomplete

2
rambarooreply
lemmynsfw.com

I think it's better to say that Newtonian physics is incomplete rather than wrong.

18
Malfeasantreply
lemmy.world

Bingo. All models are "wrong", good models are useful despite being "wrong". Relativity is wrong too since it can't account for anything quantum... Relativity isn't better, it's just more accurate under certain conditions - but outside of those conditions it's more complex than it needs to be, and Newton's models are good enough.

8
Tinidrilreply
midwest.social

Ultimately, all science and all knowledge about the universe around us is always going to be relative and incomplete. They are all just models. The only model that's complete is the universe itself, and we can't cram that into our tiny brains.

3

Correction. We can't cram that into our tiny brains and still be "human". We would likely be something on a closer level of, say, the "Q" from Star Trek. Or possibly Urza from Magic the Gathering. Which, based on my understanding of the lore of both IPs, I would rather be Q than be Urza.

-1
Quadhammerreply
lemmy.world

I'd like them to look for repeats of galaxies. Galaxies that may be the same but slightly different or in different parts of the universe. If the universe was its own black hole we might see like a sort of kaleidoscope effect

23

The trouble with that is the difference in time. Since the light has to travel such a vast distance, multiple images of the same galaxy will show different stages of maturity. Even the stars will have been recycled. It would be extremely difficult, if not impossible, to ever demonstrate that two galaxies separated by billions of light years are actually the same galaxy in a curved Universe.

23
KneeTittsreply
lemmy.world

Neutonian physics are wrong

Dangerous way of putting that since we have so many easily weaponized idiots who will carry that water, a better way to say it would be "our understanding of neutonian physics is incomplete at the moment"

6

I agree, it is more accurate that way. English is not my first language, so I missed that detail. In South Africa, we also don't have a significant anti-science movement, so it does not always occur to me naturally. The scientific approach is generally well respected and understood here.

0
lemmy.world

We have a very limited view of the universe so it's no surprise that our theories are often wrong or incomplete. The beauty of science is that when a theory proves inadequate, it gets replaced with a more complete one.

123
sh.itjust.works

yeah, but it's always a shitshow when someone brings alternate theories to the big bang. it's almost like back in those days when they burned people for suggesting the earth may be slightly less flat than expected.

31
BakerBagelreply
midwest.social

That's because alternative models like MOND or string theory end up breaking more things than they solve. Fixing the leak in your roof is great, but doing so by breaking the living room wall isn't really an acceptable solution.

32

In optimization problems, you can get stuck at a local maxima. It looks like any direction you go makes things worse. But the only way out of that is to try something that does make things worse and try refining from there to see if you can get to something better. Maybe that living room wall does need to come down in the process.

6
Chrisreply
lemmy.world

Isn't string theory basically dead at this point?

2

It works perfectly as long as you assume there are a bunch of extra spatial dimensions that can't be seen...

1
Zozanoreply
lemy.lol

It's always funny to me when people bring up how science was wrong in the past, as evidence for why we shouldn't trust it now.

You know what replaced the bad science? Good science.

9
MisterFrogreply
lemmy.world

Or rather, we replace the bad science with the best explanations we can offer, right now.

I'll take the plumb pudding model over "deity did it, stop asking questions" any day, because you can still do something useful with it.

Doesn't even matter if our understanding is wrong and will be updated later.

Science is the best philosophy 💪

3

I've always liked the adage: science doesn't tell us what's true, only what isn't.

We don't know the best way to treat cancer, but we know leeches don't work.

5
lemmy.world

“The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds new discoveries, is not ‘Eureka!’ but ‘That’s funny…'” --Isaac Asimov

118
Gabureply
lemmy.world

TIL Columbo was the ultimate scientist.

8
tal
lemmy.today

The Hubble constant seemed determined not to be constant.

89
Rascabinreply
lemmy.ml

Get your freaking towel and get outta here, man!

13

Dogulas knew:

I always said there was something fundamentally wrong with the universe.

-- Arthur Dent, the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy Radio Series.

81
ludreply

Sounds more like Arthur knew...

10
lemmy.world

Maybe Maybe there's something seriously wrong with the Universe? Why is it always US who are wrong?

79
neoreply

Hey, it's me, the Universe. I just wanted to say, this is no longer working for me. And if it makes you feel better, sure it's not you, it's me. Please don't call.

53
Scrofreply
sopuli.xyz

The universe is, frankly, a complete shitshow.

12

I like to think that whenever we discover something new, the universe just got an update and we discovered the patch notes.

3
lemmy.dbzer0.com

It seems odd to me that the universe would be expanding at the same consistent spherical shape. I've seen plenty of explosions and they never look like that. The big bang, which consisted of literally all matter in the universe would surely be no different.

39
sh.itjust.works

Except it’s not that they are finding the expansion rate is different in some directions. Instead they have two completely different ways of calculating the rate of expansion. One uses the cosmic microwave background radiation left over from the Big Bang. The other uses Cepheid stars.

The problem is that the Cepheid calculation is much higher than the CMB one. Both show the universe is expanding, but both give radically different number for that rate of expansion.

So, it’s not that the expansion’s not spherical. It’s that we fundamentally don’t understand something to be able to nail down what that expansion rate is.

101

It’s because CMB stopped for coffee, obviously.

(That was a great explanation, btw.)

16
sh.itjust.works

Under the CMB method, it sounds like the calculation gives the same expansion rate everywhere. Under the Cepheid method, they get a different expansion rate, but it’s the same in every direction. Apparently, this isn’t the first time it’s been seen. What’s new here is that they did the calculation for 1000 Cepheid variable stars. So, they’ve confirmed an already known discrepancy isn’t down to something weird on the few they’ve looked at in the past.

So, the conflict here is likely down to our understanding of ether the CMB or Cepheid variables.

13
xenoclastreply
lemmy.world

The only thing spherical is the visible universe from earth that we can see. Both in time and distance. Due to the expansion of space that volume is increasing.

The entire universe could be infinite and take on any number of infinite shapes. Our local universe could be completely different from the rest of the universe and we'll never be able to know..it's wild.

Recent experiments trying to determine what the curvature of space-time is in the visible universe has concluded that it's pretty much flat But it's entirely possible that we're just on a very very very large (infinite?) curved surface of spacetime that just looks flat to us..

25
Fareshreply
lemmy.ml

I'm no way an expert in this, but I've been told it's wrong to think of the expansion of the universe like an explosion where everything moves away from a single point, but rather that the space between each object is expanding, comparing it to the way the surface of a balloon expands (if you were to paint multiple dots on the surface of a balloon they would all move away from each other when you inflate the balloon), though I like to think of it as yeast bread expanding since that's 3d.

22
lemmy.world

Have you considered the universe may actually be a torus instead of a sphere, eg: bagel-verse?

3

Yes that sure is an option, but it doesnt fit in my pastry-centric theories of the universe.

1

Spherical? We don't know if the universe is of finite size.

As far as we know, it could just as well be infinite, and the expansion happens everywhere.

Everything is relative so the only thing we know is that the distance between galaxies increases. But we don't know if there's a “border” of the universe or not.

20
reliv3reply
lemmy.world

The big bang (if it is still a valid theory) would have been unlike any explosion you have ever witnessed. The big bang was not an explosion of only matter, since time and space were both created during this event as well.

16

Really, calling it an explosion is not right in the first place. It's one of those unfortunate cases of bad naming in science, another being 'The God Particle' (which was originally supposed to be The Goddamn Particle.) Physicists prefer using the word 'expansion.'

14

I feel (intuitively (which is almost certainly wrong)) that it's expanding like a fluidic wave. Think lighting a gasoline puddle on fire.

-3

This is what I was very very excited for. The Hubble photos were more exciting because they’re visual spectrum. The James web is all about discoveries.

8
lemmy.today

TLDR: Depending on where we look, the universe is expanding at different rates. We can now confirm it's not measurement error.

34
lemmy.world

Over and over again. That scope is really opening things up.

34

It was the same for the Hubble telescope back in the day (and still!)

2
lemmy.world

The human need for 'constants' may already be too simple. Gravity for example is treated as a constant value in Physics but is actually variable.

0

I might have missed something, but AFAIK, gravity is the same everywhere. Bigger things, bigger gravity, sure, but two equal things in different locations don't have different gravitational attraction

4

Your understanding of what constitutes "Physics" (tip: it's not a bunch of kids in a classroom) tells me that we can safely ignore your opinion.

-1
A_A
lemmy.world

The cake BigBang is a lie.
original source :
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/2041-8213/ad1ddd

see also :
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubble%27s_law
Hubble tension
In the 21st century, multiple methods have been used to determine the Hubble constant. "Late universe" measurements using calibrated distance ladder techniques have converged on a value of approximately 73 (km/s)/Mpc. Since 2000, "early universe" techniques based on measurements of the cosmic microwave background have become available, and these agree on a value near 67.7 (km/s)/Mpc. (...)
(...) The most exciting possibility is new physics beyond the currently accepted cosmological model of the universe, (...)

16
arefxreply
lemmy.ml

Can someone give me the spark notes I started reading but I'll never get through that or probably even understand all of it

10
machininreply
lemmy.world

As I understand it, there are two measures of cosmic distance/expansion rate in which we are pretty confident.

One is using supernovas as a measure. Since one kind of supernova has very particular characteristics, it is easy to calculate the distance. It is like knowing that everyone has the same kind of candle, if you see a bunch of lights around you, you could make certain assumptions about how far they are from you by how bright they are. Also, with more precise measurements, we can use the doppler effect to know how fast they are moving. We have observed the area around or Galaxy and have come up with a very precise measurement for how fast the universe is expanding.

The other measurement is by looking at the cosmic wave background. This is the "first" thing we are able to see after the big bang. I don't really understand the details of this one, but scientists have also been able to calculate the expansion rate of the universe very accurately with this radiation.

As we have done more experiments to measure these two numbers, instead of converging on the same number, the results are actually diverging. Recent results have even made it so the error bars no longer overlap.

So, we have some big questions -

  1. Are our measurements wrong? There are no strong candidates for alternative understandings of how we measure things, so we don't really know how.
  2. Are the expansion rates at the beginning of the universe and current times different? Maybe, but again, we don't have any theories for why.
  3. Does the Universe expand at different rates in different places? Maybe, but again, we don't have any strong candidates that we can test.

All of this is called the Hubble Tension. It is probably one of the biggest questions in cosmology currently.

18

Thanks this is both an uncomfortable and exciting thing to read.

6
sh.itjust.works

Basically,

Everything you know is wrong.

Black is white, up is down, and short is long

7

And everything you thought was just so important doesn't matter. Everything you know is wrong. Just forget the words and sing along. All you need to understand is, everything you know is wrong.

13

It's simple, imagine you've got two smart friends that both have an opinion about a TV show you didn't watch - you can't tell who is right but the fact they disagree suggests they might be wrong when they say you can't have flying cars and time travel.

2

Yay, progress!

But maybe the measurement methods are not correctly understood either, as profen by the brightness of white stars used to determine age, lately.

16
lemmy.world

Do all parts of a growing, living creature expand at the same speed?

8
OpenStarsreply
startrek.website

In America, our guts grow way faster than our brains, bc that's where we do most of our thinking. :-D

11
Betchreply
lemmy.world

Ohhh that makes sense! You have some REALLY smart people over there!

5
Betchreply
lemmy.world

Holy fucking shit. How have I never seen that version of your flag before? That other one is so boring why isn't this one flying everywhere?

2
OpenStarsreply
startrek.website

Bold of you to presume that it isn't!? :-P

And if you think that's something, wait till you see our history books:

And our newspapers:

(save us from ourselves?)

2
Betchreply
lemmy.world

Well damn! No wonder you guys are so patriotic! I think I might be a bit jealous of your freedom and your news industry.

(Wish I could help 😞 I'm just up here in this other little North American country. The really cold one. Just wishing someone saves you from yourselves before that stink moves too far up and gets embedded in the carpet. Unfortunately we've been getting more and more whiffs of it in the past couple years. We may need help too.)

2

Yeah, it's spreading all over the world. Again. Except this time we seem to be for rather than against it, for some reason? :-(

2
WarmSodareply
lemm.ee

Did you know that because your feet are closer to the gravitational center of the earth your head ages faster than your feet?

8
sh.itjust.works

Gonna go ahead and add "how much farther did my head travel than my feet due to the curvature of the earth" to my list of weird statistics I want an answer to

5

It would take something like a million years for your head to age more than a second. It's a fun thing to tell people though lol

2

A bat should be less affected by this uneven aging due to the whole sleeping upside down thing. They still spend some time upright so it balances out a little better than what you'd see with most of us who generally stay somewhere between prone/supine and standing up throughout the day.

1
lemmy.world

It's like the stars when observed at veryx2 far distance they start to behave weird. Blinking a bit faster than normal this might cause the reason for much faster expansion when calculating. Entropy suppose to be improbable right but at far distance all those improbable they probably all eventually add up. Just my thought anyway.

6
sh.itjust.works

Have you ever had a dream that
That you, um, you had, you'll, you would
You could, you do, you would you want you
You could do some, you...
You'll do, you could you, you want
You want him to do you so much

You could do anything, do anything
Have you ever had a dream
You could do anything, do anything
Have you ever had a dream
You could do anything, do anything

48

Anyone here an expert on Scalar-Tensor-Vector Gravity (STVG), Tensor-Vector-Scalar Gravity (TeVeS) or f(R) gravity?

6
lemmy.blahaj.zone

I took an undergrad course in stargazing, so I'm basically an expert in... whatever that is...

Prof was a big spectroscopy nerd, so we mostly focused on that.

What I gather from this article is that we still don't know what dark energy is. We haven't for decades. So the new telescope has failed to enlighten us about a mystery that's been around longer than half of the users here.

2

Yes, we still don't know what dark energy is, but the article doesn't directly mention that.

The new telescope has failed to enlighten us

I would argue the opposite. It's entire purpose is to enlighten (gather EM data) and its done this to a higher accuracy than Hubble.

It's just job is not to explain the measurements. That's ours.

1
lemmy.world

Why couldn't this still be "big bang"? Look at a grenade for example. When it explodes, a shock wave expands from it in a near perfect sphere, but the fragments previous packed inside of it explode out at different speeds depending on their mass.

If you were in the center of that explosion, measuring the speed of fragments traveling away from you, they'd travel at different speeds. Only the initial shockwave would be constant.

5

This problem is not AT ALL about the geometrical shape of the expansion of the universe. It's about 2 different formulas that should give the same result for the rate of the universe, but give different results. I don't blame you, the article title is extremely misleading.

12
Lyrlreply

This is more like you measure the fragment speeds with both a laser and with radar, and get different readings off the same fragment.

12

Maybe because the speed of things is not the same thing as the speed of space expansion.

3

From my limited understanding, the discrepancy comes from the two ways to measure the universe's expansion: calculation from cosmic microwave background and calculating a cepheid variable, which uses pulsating stars (pulsars?)

Isn't it more likely that one, or both, ways of measuring are wrong? As in, they're not useful for measuring the universe's rate of expansion?

4
lemmy.world

Isn’t it more likely that one, or both, ways of measuring are wrong? As in, they’re not useful for measuring the universe’s rate of expansion?

Now, scientists using the James Webb and Hubble space telescopes have confirmed that the observation is not down to a measurement error.

I'm trying to understand the distinction you are making. Could you elaborate?

1
lemmy.world

Not a scientist but the article seems to mean that they checked that the tools themselves had no defects giving incorrect measurements.

This comment seems to be questioning the methodology of how we measure the rate of expansion so tackles a different aspect of the conversation.

But that's about as much as I can contribute haha

8

Pretty much this. In a (hopefully) more direct metaphor, are we sure we're using a ruler to calculate the length of a line, and not using a ruler to calculate the temperature of a paper?

3
Rinoxreply
feddit.it

I think the distinction is between arguing that there's a discrepancy because the measurement is bad, or because the measurement doesn't measure what we think it measures.

Is the theory right and we have a measurement error, or is the theory flat out wrong?

7

Well, maybe at least this version:

Next after them, Epicurus introduced the world to the doctrine that there is no providence. He said that all things arise from atoms and revert back to atoms. All things, even the world, exist by chance, since nature is constantly generating, being used up again, and once more renewed out of itself—but it never ceases to be, since it arises out of itself and is worn down into itself.

Originally the entire universe was like an egg and the spirit was then coiled snakewise round the egg, and bound nature tightly like a wreath or girdle.

At one time it wanted to squeeze the entire matter, or nature, of all things more forcibly, and so divided all that existed into the two hemispheres and then, as the result of this, the atoms were separated.

  • Epiphanius of Salamis, Panarion book 1 chapter 8

Very fun in the context of Neil Turok's CPT symmetric universe theory as an explanation for the baryon asymmetry problem, so its discussion of matter being squeezed and then splitting into two which divided the particles may end up on point even if incorrect in their interpretation regarding the atmosphere.

4
lemmy.world

What are the different rates? How much variance is there?

2
lemmy.world

From memory it varies between about 67km/s per megaparsec to 74km/s per megaparsec.

Also it's really weird to describe something in terms of km/s when you look at an area over millions of lightyears

5

Those are weird units indeed :
(1 km /s) / 1 mega parsec =
(1000 m/s)/(10^6^ x 3.0857×10^16^ m) =
1/3.0857×10^19^ seconds =
1/978 x10^9^ years.

So, when we multiply by the rates (which are either 67 or 74) we get :
1/ 14.6 giga years or
1/ 13.2 giga years
... basically ( 1/ "age of the universe").

Meaning physical observation disagree about the age of the universe ...or the theory is faulty.

4

We're just inside a cosmic space octopus, pretending we understand... With limbs of the CSP expanding as it moves through timespace.

And we, the cells inside a cell inside the octopus, like to believe ourselves enlightened.

I love space because it humbles even the most confident and intelligent members of our apish species.

2

Not til we got them sweet, sweet asteroid mineralz. Parties responsible for that will dictate the direction humanity goes, imo

8
lemmy.world

It's almost like cephid variable measurement is a shitty metric for measuring universe expansion because you're not actually measuring the edge of the universe just the rate of travel of two objects.

-6

How can you measure the edge of the universe? Firstly anywhere you hold the tape you are in the universe secondly its expanding faster than the speed of light which is a limit for movement without space not the expansion of space.

6
lemmy.world

Seeing the universe expanding at different rates could just mean we're not as close to the center as we thought, and the parts further away from the center are moving faster. That's my layman's hypothesis though

-13
Stevereply
communick.news

We're not thought to be at the center at all.

We're at the center of what we can see. But that's just a limit of the speed of light and the age of the universe. The universe almost certainly goes beyond what we can see. And there's no way of knowing how big the universe is beyond that.

It's like being on a ship in the ocean. You can see the horizon is 20miles in every direction. That doesn't mean you're in the center of the ocean. You're only in the center of what you can... Sea

36
echo64reply
lemmy.world

There is no center of the universe fwiw, there is no middle everything is expanding out from. Just a substrate that exists everywhere that inflates

25

That's what I believe as well. AFAIK from what we know the universe could be infinite or simply bigger than the observable part. But I think the only reason people default to assuming that it's finite is that infinity is hard to grasp and that illustrations of the big bang show a point and then disks of expanding size. People assume that means the universe is a sphere but nothing contradicts what you say so there's no reason not to believe that it's infinite.

1

It's fun to think it might just start going backwards or something because we have literally no idea what is actually happening, like it's very possible we'll never actually be able to see or measure anything outside the universe but there could be all sorts of things going on.

0

It's a decent testable hypothesis. If there were a center. Which seems obvious in the familiar mechanical way of say a firecracker. It certainly has a center with debris going every direction from that point.

However (to use a problematic oversimplification): what if the universe has a similarity to the surface of a balloon being blown up, where is the center?

Wherever you put your finger, the whole rest of the surface of the balloon is expanding away from that point. One center point is earth. Every other place in the universe also appears to be a center.

When looking at the evidence, data from telescopes and such, describing the expansion of the universe is closer to the balloon surface theory than the firecracker theory. Even though the firecracker theory is easier to comprehend.

7

When people are talking about the center they mean the relative center, in other words, our point of reference. This definitionally is where we are as the observer.

5
Mastengwereply
lemm.ee

Do you ever take a break from the political stuff? Seriously man…. Take a rest.

4

I hope not, politics define almost every single moment of our existence. It's like physics, but with more assholes.

2
Mastengwereply
lemm.ee

About you? I don’t. But I care about all the others that have to be annoyed by this shit. This isn’t a political post. How about taking a break and just enjoy things for what they are instead of your usual attempts to manufacture arguments.

4
Mastengwereply
lemm.ee

You think this was me taking bait? Nope. This is just calling out a troll.

3
midwest.social

Shill*

They consistently parrot russian and chinese talking points under the guise of being objective

5

Gotta be careful what you call them. They can get you banned.

0