Do you have any baseless predictions for the future that you nonetheless expect to occur?
I feel like I'm a really good judge of character; I can tell if I'm not going to get along with someone or how they will treat me in the future. When it comes to high profile celebrity figures, i can get a sense of their character through very minimal data. This is why I predict Andrew Tate (toxic manosphere influencer) will pivot into becoming an alien conspiracy influence. But I have no evidence for it, thus the prediction is baseless.
Anyone have any similar beliefs/predictions?
The AI bubble will burst sometime in 2027/early 2028.
Trump will use the financial collapse as an excuse to suspend elections.
The majority will be too busy scrambling to survive to complain.
Same to first statement, i actually forgot trump would be around by 27 and 28 (because i'm not american), and that theory all lines up
At some point it will be the case that you can go online, type someone's name in a search bar and get a profile of them based on their entire internet history, including everything they've posted thinking to be anonymous as well as everything companies like Facebook know about them and on top of it all everything else this system has been able to piece together based on the massive set of data they have of you.
This won't be as bad as it sounds. This reveals that virtually everyone is a hypocrite. Very few people will have ground to stand on from which to ridicule others. The biggest winners and losers will be the people with the highest and lowest levels of integrity. Others will be rewarded for having been honest even when they could've gotten away with dishonesty and the others will rightfully be discredited for all the lies they've built their life and persona onto.
Oligarchs, frustrated with dealing with their political sockpuppets, start just buying countries.
Seems very plausible.
As a kid i always wondered why countries didn't buy up parts of other countries to avoid bloodshed for territory.
::: spoiler I still figure it could work really well for wealthy governments like Switzerland but i now realise that:
A) A country's proper area is very important to it, especially an "ancient" country like Switzerland's neighbours,
B) Citizens do cause a fuss about having their leaders change undemocratically or suddenly - it could make taxes or travel different - and they tend to revolt at sudden unconsented change like that, even if it's only surface level. :::
I see this being most likely to occur for places like middle eastern oil states, so Oligarchs is definitely the right conditionality. Or big empires like the USA and China
The united stated purchased a bunch of territory.
Yes, true. Could have been known as the great merchant empire, but it's overshadowed by their attempts and successes at military conquest and coup d'etats instead.
Trump dead ,and having street parties over the world.
Ebola 3.0 and bird flu attack on the humans
I think the earth is going to metaphorically say enough is enough and step in to fix climate change because humans are too selfish and greedy to do it ourselves. I think this is going to come by way of a massive volcanic eruption that causes short term global cooling while killing a good chunk of the population across a large geographical area both from the immediate disaster and the resulting long term damage from widespread ash/famine that could result.
Yeah i think that too! Great example, fits with the "no evidence" aspect
We'd have extra PCIe slots on premium motherboards so every type of cores can be implemeted separately, e.g. CPU and NPU, CUDA and Turing\RTX. Shared memory would become a standard.
I believe Elon Musk will be installed as the president of Russia.
That's actually very interesting and somewhat plausible. We know how easy to influence he is - if someone tells him to run (for office in russia), he runs. Or if enough of his twitter followers do so.
Already happened in 2020.
https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/azure-linux/azure-linux-overview
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azure_Linux
microsoft linux
WSL already exists, I think you have a baseline for this
Ooh, I like this one.
With their own proprietary fork of Wine, which of course doesn't work as well as the original.
I can't say this is completely baseless because there's too much out there about it but it will be disclosed that aliens do exist, they're not from other planets but other dimensions, and they've been manipulating mankind for thousands of years.
Seems to be a popular theory from 4channers actually, i think i read a bunch of /x/ greentexts proposing theories like that.
They have a light switch in their house and they don't know what it's for. They just flip it every so often.
Little did they know it's was actually a peace and war switch
Once at a dinner party, one alien was showing the switch to another and they flipped it back and fourth a bunch of times and started WW1
Couple years later, another party and BAM WWII
I think there will be some crazy scientific breakthrough that will change everything.
Totally baseless, and it's mostly the idiot optimist inside me that believes it, but I kind of have to believe it else I'll go bananaser then I already am.
AI has honestly changed a lot about my life/intended life plan. Especially when it was released, it basically rolled out as i graduated high school.
I actually started out in a creative/arts based degree but quit it early on, so i think to a lot of people it looked like i was scared of AI stealing my job. I wasn't back then, but i now kind of am concerned that scummy employers will lay-off a lot of people and try to have AI do their work in that field.
Anyway not to say AI fits your description, as it doesn't really, but it indicates to me that sense of tumultuous change. Likewise, covid. That changed everything too. I don't think these things come in pairs but in waves, kike the chsnge of the 19th and 20th centuries.
And I think it will come from AI. It's either that or aliens, and only one of those two actually exist.
Eh, maybe AI adjacent, and certainly not from the big ai companies.
With so many AI data centres needing so much power and none seeming to use solar power etc, we'll start seeing "grid rationing" where suburbs will get "time zones" where there will be power and no power.
Instead of people rising up or pushing back, they will get distracted by arguing that certain/richer suburbs get prioitised more than lower class suburbs.
Plus water supply rationing, like in Cuba
...god dam it i can see that coming too
I'm sure AI can be used to solve the problems that might introduce :-)
Trump will live to be 102 just because life isn't fair
Okay now it's weird how many people are citing things i've also thought about!
I expect him to be a quite significant figure in history textbooks, hopefully as an example of how not to lead, as the USA's version of King Henry VIII of England, and the reason why the constitution and electoral system was changed. A rare example of president->prison pieline taking place in the USA.
However. It just feels like he has some unholy power to prolong our suffering and tank any blows to his career or even his life. I fuoly expect that he'll stay alive as long as possible which wiol prevent americans talking so candidly bout him.
Or maybe it'll allow trump to see every last member of his cult turn on him. Maga voters will finally admit that whoever comes after trump is better, they haven't seen lasting change or security following his regime, and it wasn't at all worth the humiliation they subjected themselves to. They're like a really toxic F-ed up college fraternity.
The longer he lives, the more time he has to live with the consequences that catch up to him.
Smart move on his part is to die as close to inauguration day as possible, but not beyond it.
I'll allow it, but only in prison.
I think cooling jackets with built-in fans will become a fashion statement in the west
Here in Japan lots of people wear these while working, it looks like a great solution for mild summer temps of 28c, but sincerely is mostly unusable in the wet heat of other regions.
You mean I'll finally be cool again? I need to pre-order one of these.
We will see WWIII in my life time (next 50 years, if I'm lucky).
It will be started over something that will seem incredibly silly, in hindsight.
I think historians will likely be deciding if we are already in ww3 or not. Although I'm quite surprised China hasn't moved on Taiwan
Water?
I totally agree. If recent Iran conflict war had gone much further or had successfully roped in the USA's NATO allies, it would have fit all those criterias.
It shows that we teeter on a precipice above the pit of wartime
We've gotten really comfortable at being 11 seconds to midnight. Anything pushes us past 12am
I think humanity will achieve digital immortality and might achieve a form of physical immortality by uploading themselves into artificial bodies.
And I'll 100% sign up for it if it becomes possible.
Honestly all i can say is thst i hope it never happens. I expect it will be possible given that some people are so hell bent on pursuing it, but my cope theory is thst "hell bent" is the right term, because it would be a living hell.
The digital immortality you want: living forever in a virtual paradise.
The digital immortality you get: you are recorded doing something stupid that ends any career or relationship potential and is never able to be removed from the internet.
In another aspect, what does uploading ones self look like and when is the upload taken? Do they kill the original body after taking the upload or is there a you living out their days stuck in the mortal husk while another you (possibly not the one you are) is off living it up in an immortal body or virtual paradise?
Like someone else said either the show upload or the show altered carbon.
I don't know that FlashMobOfOne needs to just apply a dystopian tv show to the only possibility of how they see it playing out. Other ideas are a thing, particularly if they are 100% signing up. Would they still 100% sign up if the copy gets the digital immortality but FlashMobOfOne still has to live on in their own skull regardless? If that's the case why bother? You'd effectively create another person that is based on you but isn't you, they'd think of themselves as you, but OEM hardware would probably still hold the rights to the title.
I imagine it to be not unlike a system snapshot of a computer, just of your brain and the data your mind contains, thus making every experience accessible like a computer file in additional to all of the recorded data that exists online.
As for a mortal body, if my second prediction is correct, you wouldn't need it anymore. Perhaps those who upload could donate their bodies to those who choose not to. That would be nice.
Ahh so the idea would be that the upload wipes the original so there arent multiple copies kicking around.
Seems like making new people would be difficult unless you made everyone keep a bio body until they had reached mental maturity and made more humans ..
You'd get a kick from the series Upload, then
Reminds me of San Junipero
Not completely baseless, but Florida is going to go bankrupt one year and cause a major political problem for the US.
If they move on with removing taxes on property the political and operational shot show of cities and counties without cash turning to special assessments and creating fees for school police and public services, essentially taxes that can raise without being voted, and with less supervision, that will make the "no step on snake" crowd revolt because gvmnt services without payment seems to be their thing.
How does Disney factor into this prediction? I've never been there, but it seems like an oasis in the middle of a shit desert (speaking mostly about its ability to manage itself and just generally function).
It doesn't help that DeSantis's anti-Disney push was around the time that Disney was in the process of moving more corporate jobs from California to Florida, which Disney stopped doing after the fiasco.
However, what will likely cause a collapse is that Florida has gotten into hurricane home insurance. If there is a bad year for Florida, Florida might not be able to cover the payouts for insurance claims. Combined with its current housing price slump already, and Florida may have major issues down the road.
Geoengineering to combat climate change by mass carbon capture will be the solution that saves humanity but will arrive too late to prevent some harrowing effects.
Self-driving vehicles will become good enough to technically be safer for passengers than human drivers soon, but the stigma around them will continue for a long time after they are road legal and their uptake will be very slow.
One harrowing thing i expect is for there to be mass migration attributed to climate change - after all, we already see mass migration for smaller reasons, so even if they don't strictly speaking need to move north (or south), i think new media and scientists will just attribute any migration that occurs as being climate-
influenceddriven.Arguably a good thing, if it raises peoples' concerns for climate change. I think this is why a lot of RWers dismiss climate change as a hoax though, because of its connection to mass exodus from the "globsl south". Two things can be true.
I expect we will lose some entire settlements, coastal ones. I think Egypt will get messed uo because of their weird relationship with water, and major cities with major sea defence projects are ones to look out for - they're ramping up sea defences in New York right now, making me think something is coming (next 20 years or so)
Any idea if mass carbon capture could undo runaway venus-like greenhouse effects? I have no hope that humanity will put up with even minor inconveniences until lead starts melting at room temperature at the equator. It would give me hope if there was a way to undo runaway greenhouse processes.
It seems kind of unlikely. It could be part of an array of solutions. Right now it captures something like 0.1%. That means it would take 1000 times the current infrastructure to support it, including carbon-neutral energy to cover the additional energy costs. All that is assuming 100% carbon capture is even viable. Even then, that doesn't solve the problem of the carbon that's already in the environment, which will continue to warm the earth for centuries.
There's an interesting emergency option: Stratospheric aerosol injection.
If we got to the point where the runaway effect was unavoidable, it might be possible to use this before civilization starts to collapse. It would probably have a lot of nasty side effects, but it might be able to buy enough time for CO2 levels to come back down. At least civilization could survive in some form.
Couldn't disagree more with either of those takes. Self driving cars won't be safer even theoretically given unsolvable problems and will almost certainly lead to even worse pedestrian rights and make our cities so much worse. That solution to climate change isn't realistic of feasible at all we need if we are going to solve it massive systematic change and an end to capitalism.
What are the unsolvable problems with autonomous cars? Also I agree it is a bad thing for pedestrian rights and cities in general.
The Sun will explode, probably on a Thursday.
Or a superior civilisstion will want to make way for our planet to build an interstellar bypass
Stargates
Some other ones:
I really doubt we're the only sentient life but we'll never meet any is my bet. The observable universe is mind bogglingly huge. The unobservable is so much bigger. So many stars, so many planets.
Regarding North Korea, it seems like it is a national decision instead of an international decision. There have been cases where trade was allowed to occur with North Korea and it was North Korea which chose to close the program.
Even now, North Korea could theoretically force a more open travel system with Russia and North Korea chooses not to. Hell, North Korea probably could get a peace treaty out of Trump and chooses not to.
I have also had the thought that aliens might be offended by all the media humans have made about aliens
Especially all the ones depicting them as genocidal bodysnatchers xD
Which sequel trilogy? 1-3, or 7-9?
7-9, i call 1-3 the Prequels. I think in a way retconning 7-9 is the most profitable thing disney can do with it, there have been a few silly rumours they might do it too.
Big foot is real, lots of people have encountered it, and no one talks about it bc it rapes them
There's more people talking from the Epstein list than the big foot list. And you know what they say about big foot, even if it's just one.
And that's why they call him "big foot," huh?