Honestly believe extinction or at least some kind of end of life as we know it isn’t that far off.

We will eventually lose our purpose to the elites. What will they do with us then?

havnt heard that in a while, they switched to "why you making fun of conservatives or nazis, inclusivity". i usually call them white defenders(defending anything that a white person would do that is terrible, or think it is good"

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I can only think of one: massive inflation à la 2008 Zimbabwe. They printed a 100 trillion dollar bill by the end of that one, so nearly everyone was a trillionaire.

Now they're in an entirely new hyperinflation crisis, but it's nowhere near the 89.7 sextillion percent year-on-year inflation rate they saw at the first's peak.

Edit: fucking hell, they're releasing yet another currency: the Zimbabwean ZiG. IYKYK

The two biggest famines in human history weren't caused by droughts or natural disasters. They were caused by socialism.

Socialism was a failure. The economic policies of 1930s capitalism was also a failure.

Fortunately those aren't the only two options. We don't have to follow the failed systems of the past. There were successful economic policies used after WWII up until Ronald Reagan which were very successful.

Trust-busting, taxing the wealthy, and Keynesian economic policies were what led to the peak of human prosperity.

Socialism from the perspective of the working class was starvation followed by building lots of shitty tanks, followed by economic collapse. You should read history from that perspective a little more instead just reading the writings by the elites in those societies.

Not only can you take loans against your shares, but you can pay the interest on those loans with dividends from the shares, and because they're a loans, the cash-in-hand is not taxable, so you pay NO TAX on it. You have no "income" on paper, but you can pay people and companies with shares instead of money, shares that you can literally conjure into existence by typing numbers into a spreadsheet. Those money and shares are really useful for greasing the palms of politicians, government officials, and hangers-on so that you can get your way. You can even use this money and influence to cause riots and stoke division in society.

I mean, isn't a company's valuation decided by the company themselves? Rest, when market forces are controlled by private hedge funds, asset management companies, and retirement funds, I feel normal Market rationality cannot be assumed. Market ownership right now is highly concentrated in these entities, and they have all the incentives to keep these valuation up for the reasons you stated.

It's interesting that the more you learn about the market the more it looks like a ponzi scheme😂

I think you're estimates for launch costs are off. Starship is targeting $50-$200/kg or lower if they are successful. In the short term, you're $30 million is probably more correct or maybe even to low, but they will very likely lose money while they iterate on reusability and get the costs down to their expected levels.

It's going to take a lot of launches to get Starship to the point of reusability where the $50-200/kg comes true, but they need to launch something to help recoup those costs which is what starlink/ai will be. I'm not convinced the AI dishes will generate as much revenue as they think though and that it will still be a loss.

The current spec'd ship can theoretically do 100T+ but that'll be expanded, but that puts all in launch costs and staffing and refurbishment etc at around $5-20 million per launch. You don't sell it for $50/kg if you can't eventually support the whole business at $50/kg.

Assuming they can fully utilize the 100T with these dishes that's ~50 DC Satellites per launch as currently designed, or ~6250Kw compute and 7500Kw of solar per launch. (edit: for reference, its going to be 60 starlink v3, so if physical size isn't a limiting factor, just 10 less dishes)

I don't know where you're getting $4.5 million for 150kw of solar. Space will be more expensive, but it's $1.1-$1.5w in the USA right now at large commercial scale on land, and SpaceX will be making their own so there's no profit margin on that. You're putting it at 20x-27x the cost of land solar after someone takes a profit.

I have no idea what radiators will cost, but they figured it out for Starlink v3, this will just be a lot bigger. (edit: i do expect it to cost less than the solar array though, it should be simpler)

I think we might get a lot more details on what things could actually cost, if we can get any leaked or real info about what a Starlink V3 satellite costs, which maybe now that they're public, that will come out once they start launching? They might obfuscate the per dish cost though by grouping it with other things?

I like your idea of some future taxing of usage in space. As it gets more crowded, more money will need to be spent on monitoring it, and coordinating things all of which is an ongoing cost, and taxing it yearly/per dish to help fund research and such would be great.