Spyke

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Generations

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I'm not who you were responding to, but first borns certainly aren't necessary. High fertility, low marriage age places like West Africa (Niger in particular has an average of 7 births per woman) meet the 15-20 range pretty spot on. A woman can easily have a child every year or so from 15 to 20, then they sort of coast to a stop by their late 20s. The majority of births are early because their so close together.

Average reported marriage age of women in Niger is 19... I've lived there, and in the village, it's 15 or 16. I have seen 9 year olds get "married" but it was really more like a reservation to get real married when she's 15 or so. Even using official stats, 1 kid before 20 and 3 or 4 kids before age 25 is very achievable.

I have personally met 30-year old grandmothers there who didn't think anything of it. They're 75% of the way to average life expectancy anyways.

I would say an average of 5 mothers per century up to 1850 or 1900 sounds about right, and is still a fairly conservative figure.

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Got my guys house stuff and a whole new wardrobe

Metal flasks are such a stupid gift.

You want whiskey? Buy a god damned bottle. A flask holds A big pour of liquid. You're going to bring a drink somewhere? Good one, Bevis.

Sneaking it into something? Nope, it's metal and clunky big.

Metal conducts heat, so your bodyheat hot whiskey will burn the whole time, no matter how good it is.

Be an adult and buy a plastic nalgeen flask you keep in your sock. Does the place do pat-downs? Ok, then chug 8 oz of whiskey in the parking lot like god intended. They can't take it from you when it's in you already. ; )

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What is this "work" you speak of?

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That's the point of the phrase, but it may also be a product of an earlier time when tools were not as widely available and varied in quality. It may not mean the same thing today.

In a modern sense, a real master craftsman simply won't work with cheap, shoddy tools unless necessary. They will invest in the thing that let's them work. It's a tax write off anyway, it's worth the cost. You won't catch a world-renowned carpenter at Harbor Freight buying the cheapest just from the discount bin.

If anything, while it means in one sense that a poor craftsman will blame shitty tools, because a good craftsman won't suffer shitty tools in the first place.

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Will we return to analog technology to some degree?

As someone that lived through the analog to digital transition, please please please never hope to go back. There have been incredible gains in data storage, sharing, and analysis that have benefitted humanity in ways that are impossible to describe.

AI companies are not all that is digital technology. We had a quarter of a century with a solid digital infrastructure before they came along.