Spyke

I'll believe him when he's windmilling his pitiful pud and frothing at the mouth. Maybe. 🖕🏼

10
lemmy.world

no tools

Its the same thing with narc parents. They got nothing but the roof over your head so all day they make threats about it. They abuse the tiniest bit of power incessantly to create a dopamine skinner box of a life for themselves

11
lemmy.world

LOL, that ammunition dump explosion must have really burned him.

34
lemm.ee

Ahh I'm sorry to waste your time, I know about them. I just meant to say "there's more than one!"

It's hard to take joy from anything in this war, but seeing the Kremlin's ammunition lighting up the sky with a thousand foot fireball, knowing it would save many Ukrainian lives, was incredible. Some of the craters in the satellite photos are very impressive.

2
talreply
lemmy.today

There were three in three or four days, though the first depot, at Toropets, was the most-significant.

At least the first involved a substantial number of Ukranian long-range UAVs -- I saw "about 100" quoted in coverage of it -- and given that this current statement references large UAV or missile strikes and comes shortly after those, I guess that it might indeed be in response to those.

EDIT:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/09/18/russia-may-have-stockpiled-its-best-missiles-at-an-arsenal-in-the-town-of-toropets-which-is-why-ukraine-just-blew-it-up-with-100-drones/

That so many of Russia’s best munitions were reportedly concentrated in a single location explains why Ukraine devoted such a large force to the attack. RBC-Ukraine claimed more than 100 drones were involved—potentially making the Toropets raid the biggest Ukrainian strike on a target inside Russia since Russia widened its war on Ukraine 30 months ago.

and here:

“The conditions for Russia’s transition to the use of nuclear weapons are also clearly fixed,” Putin said, adding that Moscow would consider such a move if it detected the start of a massive launch of missiles, aircraft, or drones against it.

3

I hope the speculation about them hitting missiles is right. Much harder to replace them than artillery shells or small arms ammunition.

2

Ukraine is not attacking Russia. It's a counter attack.

Stopping those is easy with this 1 simple trick

33

I mean, the lesson here is to give Ukraine back the nukes we traded them in exchange for guarantees of territorial integrity in the Budapest memorandum.

We failed, we did not protect your territory, we admit we failed.

So have some nukes with irbms and TERs as a consolation prize.

Damn putin, you sure outsmarted us...

25
lemmy.world

None of their nukes will ever get off the launching pad before exploding harmlessly. These empty threats ring hollow, as always.

24
lemm.ee

They just had a catastrophic failure when they tried to rattle their saber recently. They can't even launch a single ICBM for intimidation.

4

That was testing a new missile, so not exactly the same thing. It still doesn't inspire confidence, and the maintenance levels of the rest of their military doesn't inspire confidence in the readiness of their existing nuclear arsenal.

3
lemmy.world

As someone said; he rattled that sabre so much it's all dull now.

21

Putin issues a nuclear warning #5285 to the West over Ukraine

FTFY

Also: why won't you just let me play land grab and genocide? Why won't you just let me fuck people over? Why won't you just let me be a genocidal maniac when I want to? You're all a bunch of party poopers!

19
tal
lemmy.today

I suppose "any non-nuclear state" here is intended to be read as "Ukraine".

17
FuglyDuckreply
lemmy.world

At the moment? Yes.

But Pootie-Boo there never meant to stop with just Ukraine. Which is why NATO was expanding so much so quick.

17

Mutually assured destruction was supposed to be a deterrent to anyone using nukes. Not to enable an aggressor force to do what they want without repercussions out of fear that they would use nukes. If they use nukes, at a minimum they'll no longer exist. Probably along with the rest of us.

17

MAD exists between two nuclear armies. If you nuke us we'll nuke you back. Ukraine gave up it's nukes (from the Soviet era). No country will ever make that mistake again.

It's still a deterrent, just not here.

4
lemmy.world

Probably along with the rest of us.

This is an age-old myth. If any of Puta's nuclear delivery systems were actually successful in delivering the largest payload in their arsenal and detonating it, greater than 99% of the global population of humans would remain unharmed, even long term. And the likelihood that even one would be successful is exceedingly low.

While we certainly don't want thousands killed in a single strike, ruining an area for years and causing global panic, we are exceptionally prepared to prevent the very few that take flight from making it to their destination.

The best shot at a detonation Putler has is driving the device to a target in a well-disguised box truck, just like any other terrorist.

2
Womblereply
lemmy.world

There is no reason to think Russia's entire strategic nuclear arsenal is unusable. It's entirely possible a decent chunk of it is due to corruption and neglect, but even if 10% work that's still 160 city destroying nukes being detonated across Europe and North America if the world goes full MAD. That probably wouldn't wipe out humanity but it would lead to hundreds of millions of people dying. Not something to be taken lightly.

4
lemmy.world

There is absolutely no scenario in which 160 or even 16 cities are hit with anything Putin launches.

More than 30 capable nations, including the U.S. (who eclipses the rest combined) have been focusing their primary defense and intelligence efforts on countering Russia's arsenal for the last 60 years. The most likely outcome of a nuclear attempt from Russia is that not even a single city is hit.

The only effective nuclear offense Russia has is fear-mongering about a nuclear offense.

0

Wishing something to be true doesnt make it so. I havent seen any credible assessments that Russia's strategic nuclear arsenal is so bad that it would be more that 90% non-functional. That's an insane level of broken that there is just no reason to assume it.

Put another way, way more than 10% of their tanks, planes, artillery and tactical ballistic missiles work, why would you assume that their strategic nukes are significantly worse?

All of which isnt to say we should cower before Putin's obviously empty nuclear threat, let Ukraine release the storm shadows! But to go from there to lol dumb Russians cant fire a single ICBM is just not credible.

2

attacking any non-nuclear state that had the participation or support of a nuclear state, Putin said.

This is also how you get Australia to start seriously considering a nuclear arsenal.

14
lemmy.world

I just dont get it. The man rules the world's largest country by landmass and is richer than the richest people in the universe, what the fuck are you going to do with more land like Ukraine. More importantly, why do so many people have to die for it. And how the fuck are you so incapable of admiting being in the wrong that you threten to nuke the whole world. Why are people in power like this.

14
Brchtreply
lemmy.world

Aside from nationalistic pride, there are several practical reasons:

  1. Azof sea + Crimean peninsula are a natural chockepoint for Russia's exports from the river Don, basically all Russia's black sea inports and exports pass though there

  2. Donbass is incredibly rich in mineral resources

  3. Ukraine's ports are where the largest Soviet Union ships were built, Russia can't build larger frigades/aircraft carriers without Ukraine's facilities (mainly Mykolaiv port I believe).

  4. The dominance over the black sea is extremely important for Russia, as it may affect both its nuclear deterrence and its control over Georgia which opens the gates to central asia (yes Turkey is in Nato but it plays its own game)

Also consider that Russia started the war hoping for a quick ukrainian capitulation, so they would have absorbed the hugely important ukrainian aerospace industry, and its massive farming industry.

They probably 'just' want the Donbass and the coast now, so the last point is no longer relevant, but it played a role in deciding to push forward with the invasion.

5

At some point the argument that consolidating more oil and pushing for more gas/oil monopoly would have been part of the play. But now, any unbelievably mediocre economist would just say the roi is somewhere 5 generations in the future (if at all) and the sunken cost fallacy is raping Russia liberally through all echelons.

Not really saying there is logic to the madness, other than some internal motivations (apart from delusions of grandeur imperialistic pursuits).

4
mander.xyz

Not ANOTHER empty threat from the 5'6" dingbat with a failing arsenal?!

That won't help me one bit to fill out my dumb Russian shit bingo card. 3x in a WEEK?! WTF man, some of us have games to win over here...

10

Not sure what height has to do with anything.

He's a narcissist with delusions of grandeur and doesn't know when to give up. He's set both Russia and Ukraine back significantly with little to show for it so far.

Putin deserves to lose.

1
lemmy.world

O shit! Well! I'll see your nuclear warning and raise you a "I'm about to fart" warning.

6
lemmy.world

Putin is paranoid and insane.

If he ever pushes the button and the Russian soldier "following orders" all of them will stand trial at the ICC for war-crimes against humanity and the entire-planet earth.

The first nation that attempts at launching nukes success-or-failure will get crushed by the rest of the world.

Nuclear-Mutually-Assured-Total-Destruction is not a joke. It is reality we live in everyday.

5
maniiireply
lemmy.world

"Everyone has a plan until they are punched in the mouth"

I rest my case when people say:

baseless fear mongering

7

I have no idea what on earth you're trying to convey. It's like you typed English but failed to provide any syntax.

-7

We issue a Sunffaluffakus warning don't make us release the Sunffaluffakus

3