Pedro Sánchez reveals that Spain is heading for snap election on November 29
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10 replies
Might as well hold it now, otherwise would have been next year. The Spanish housing crisis might help them as it’s typically a more left wing topic.
Don't underestimate the (social) media capaigns the right wing supporterd inevitably will start.
The US has enough influence on Morocco to stage another "invasion" of Ceuta if they don't like where the polls are headed.
Right wingers will just blame everything on immigrants and not the massive funds that have turned half the country into a hotel with zero oversight
Sanchez hopes that current protest over housing will cover up his government's failure in Ceuta. He obviously prefers for housing to be the main electoral issue, not immigration, and he failed to address the demands of protesters on purpose, so that the protests can extend into the elections and cover other issues. He's positioning himself against the Catalans now but he clearly has no chance of forming government without them. I don't expect this to work. People are not as stupid as he thinks. According to the polls his chances of winning are very very slim.
We'll see how much Junts falls. Maybe they become irrelevant.
I seriously doubt that. Catalans got everything they wanted: amnesty for the thieves and more money in the budget. They were basically setting the agenda for the government over the last couple of years. Their base can see this and will not abandon them now. It's still not clear if Pigdaemon will be back before the elections but if he is then he will be welcomed as a great hero and will serve as the face of Catalan victory over the rest of Spain. This will give them even more votes.
If you're thinking they may lose support because they blocked the housing decrees... definitely not. It was clear from the beginning that landlords form their base and they are grateful that Junts blocked the new law. That's why I think Sanchez sabotaged those changes. It would be easy to negotiate a solution that Junts would approve (exclude small landlords from eviction bans) and for some reason he pushed for changes everyone knew will go nowhere. I think his calculation is that he can present PSEO as the only chance to get housing reform but I also think people will not fall for this.
Why is this downvoted?
My instance doesn't have downvotes but I'm guessing people don't want to admit that Spanish government is not perfect and they think that only a fascist would dare to say something like that.
Even your guess got downvoted with no one elaborating, so I'm going to guess it's something people don't like but can't objectively argue against.