Spyke

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14 replies

Yes, at least Ukraine may gain some actual benefits, like fast tracking EU and NATO membership.
But of course it does not make up for the unnecessary suffering Ukrainians have endured during the war.
But for Russia there is no up side at all. NATO has expanded already, and will expand again, something they could have avoided if they had stayed at home. And sanctions against Russia will likely continue until there is a regime change that can negotiate new deals. And the Russian economy is set back at least 10 years.

Ukraine has a lot brighter future once this war is over than Russia does.

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lemmy.world

Allegedly a whopping 8.5% of the Russian GDP goes through these distributions centers!! (Wildberries and Ozon)
They are were handling 20 million orders DAILY!! And support an estimated 4 million jobs!

Despite all this some economists claim it will not seriously impact the Russian economy, because distribution will change to be handled by the vendors instead of through central distribution/logistic centers. And the Wildberry Internet services will continue to handle the IT side of things.

I don't think that's true though, a lot of retailers will not be able to afford to build the distribution capacity themselves after just having lost their entire inventory without compensation.

Seems to me that in 2 weeks Ukraine has managed to destroy approximately 4% of the Russian economy at least for a while. And many vendors will not be able to continue because this has bankrupted them.

19
Buffaloxreply
lemmy.world

Also Wildberries has borrowed a shit ton of money from banks allegedly they are the biggest borrower in Russia. And they are likely to go bankrupt from this, so that would put more pressure on the banks too. 💰💰💰
Wildberries has invested a lot on this business model, where they lend to vendors that use Wildberries as their sales platform and logistics. But they have not yet reached the point where they are profitable, so I don't see how they should be able to survive this. Meaning the money invested are all lost. 💸💸💸

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Valmondreply
lemmy.dbzer0.com

If they bring down the state bank which brings down the economy and that ends the war it'd be fucking fantastic 😁, one can dream eh!

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Buffaloxreply
lemmy.world

Not unrealistic, but Putin is taking everything out of the Russian economy he can to continue the war, so it might take a while yet. Unless something happens in the meantime I'm guessing a couple of years.

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Valmondreply
lemmy.dbzer0.com

Yes, realistically only a coup can end the war in 2026 I think.

But change comes gradually, then suddenly!

3

Yes usually a coup is impossible to predict, it can happen any time without us knowing anything beforehand.
All, we can say is that there are conditions that make a coup more likely to happen.

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Buffaloxreply
lemmy.world

If you are in the USA, there aren't really any enemy that can hit those, except if Trump chooses to go to war with Canada.
But if people stop using Amazon that's absolutely an added bonus. 😀

5

If you are in the USA, there aren’t really any enemy that can hit those

Not yet there isn't.

But once I get my hands on some decent drones and learn how to fly them... (Anybody want to crowdfund some drones for me? I would promise not to buy them from Amazon, but ... then again, it would be kind of hilarious irony if they were from Amazon.)

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