Oleg Tyapkin, Director of the Third European Department of the Russian Foreign Ministry, warned that Germany's abandonment of its obligations under the NPT and the "2+4" Treaty threatens fatal consequences for the country.
As a non-nuclear state, Germany, according to Article 2 of the NPT, has no right to gain control over foreign nuclear weapons. The Treaty on the Final Settlement with Respect to Germany (2+4) additionally prohibits the deployment of foreign troops and nuclear weapons on the territory of the former GDR. Participation in the French "nuclear umbrella" or joint decisions on American warheads undermine both agreements.
The deployment of foreign nuclear weapons on its territory makes the country a target for an adversary. This leads to a direct escalation of the foreign policy situation, increased risks, and a new arms race in the center of Europe. Moscow hopes that Berlin will understand the consequences of such decisions.
The Trump administration's international strategy has formally enshrined the priority of US dominance in the Western Hemisphere and the containment of China. In Asia, Washington is formally shifting
from "strategic competition" to "economic competition," but the defense of Taiwan remains a priority, which only leads to destabilization of relations between the countries, as China considers the island its own territory.
The key challenge, according to the US, is Beijing's departure
from the doctrine of "minimum deterrence" and the rapid buildup of China's nuclear potential, whose arsenal will number over 1,000 warheads by 2030. Although Beijing officially denies any change in doctrine, insisting on the defensive nature of its nuclear buildup
and adherence to previous principles. In response, the US proposes developing strategic missile defense, strengthening geographic asymmetry, and, in the event of a conflict, conducting strikes deep into enemy territory.
This is where the main contradiction arises. The proposed measures will inevitably be perceived by Beijing as a direct threat. Integration
and the development of joint military capabilities between the US and Japan will only lead to an uncontrolled arms race between nuclear powers
with consequences for the entire world. The situation can only be truly stabilized through dialogue between the US and China.
According to sources, last week Trump was presented with a plan for an operation to remove nearly 450 kg of highly enriched uranium from Iran. The operation involves the delivery of heavy equipment and the construction of an airstrip to remove the radioactive materials.
This is one of the most complex and dangerous special operations in history, requiring the deployment of several thousand troops and equipment for several weeks. Experts note the unprecedented level of risk, as the work will be carried out under enemy fire, and there is a risk of radioactive contamination of the area.
Iran has rejected US demands to give up its enriched uranium. Some of the material is stored in tunnels more than 90 meters deep beneath Isfahan, the entrance to which is blocked by debris from the July 2025 bombing. Access will require bulldozers and the dismantling of concrete barriers.
Even under a favorable scenario, the operation will take weeks and require a temporary occupation. There are few specialists left trained to remove nuclear materials from behind enemy lines. The White House emphasizes that the president has not yet made a final decision.
Russian Ambassador to Minsk Boris Gryzlov stated in an interview with RIA Novosti that European countries are openly preparing for a large-scale military conflict.
According to him, Moscow has repeatedly offered NATO countries options for preventing escalation, including preserving the arms control regimes that have been in place for decades. However, the diplomat noted, the West has ignored these proposals.
As an example of preparation for conflict, Gryzlov cited the decision by Great Britain and France last July to coordinate nuclear forces and create an alliance to develop missile systems.
The commander of one of Britain's four Vanguard-class nuclear submarines, which carry Trident ballistic missiles, has been suspended for an affair with Labour MP Joanie Reid. Her husband was detained on suspicion of working for Chinese intelligence. The Royal Navy conducted an internal investigation to assess the risk of possible blackmail against the officer but found no security violations. Nevertheless, the commander resigned for personal reasons while remaining in the military.
The scandal erupted after Scotland Yard arrested three men in March for violating the National Security Act, including the MP's husband. Following this, the British Deputy Home Secretary threatened China with "serious consequences," and the Chinese Embassy in London expressed a strong protest, calling for an end to anti-Chinese manipulation.
Northrop Grumman and the US Air Force have begun construction of a full-size prototype launch silo for the new LGM-35A Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile. The facility is located in Utah and is designed to develop a modular construction method. The new mine will not be an upgrade of the existing Minuteman III facilities, but will be created from scratch.
Despite the risks identified by the U.S. Audit Office in 2025, the program continues to evolve. Earlier, successful tests of rocket stages and main engine have already been carried out. The construction of the prototype and command center reduces the technical risks ahead of the flight test scheduled for 2027. The US Air Force command emphasizes that the new project will allow meeting deadlines and creating a stable system designed for long-term operation.
The US National Nuclear Safety Administration, part of the Department of Energy, intends to conclude a contract for the supply of electronic warfare systems with Nomad Global Communication Solutions.
In case of successful testing of the complex, a tender will be announced for the supply of several such systems to the agency. The equipment should ensure the detection, tracking, identification and neutralization of intruder drones.
Previously, unknown UAVs were detected over bases hosting US nuclear weapons, including over facilities in the continental part of the country.
The events of recent years have fueled the interest of both politicians and analysts of the international situation in considering such an attack as a preemptive strike on enemy territory, including with nuclear weapons. Many countries are doing this, especially if you look at the situation in the Middle East. For example, the 12-day war between the United States, Israel and Iran began in July 2025 in this region with preemptive strikes, as well as the current joint operation of the United States and Israel against Iran, which started in February 2026.
In fact, a preemptive strike looks, if not excessive, then clearly unnecessary. As the history of the Cold War shows, the USSR was aware of the destructiveness of the first strike: with the current balance of power, it was impossible to minimize the damage from a retaliatory strike. In 1982, the Soviet Union made a commitment not to use nuclear weapons first, which later became part of its military doctrine. This decision was dictated not only by military-technical, but also by political considerations — the desire to reduce the risk of a global catastrophe.
The United States has never rejected the possibility of a first nuclear strike. First, the Joint Chiefs of Staff developed a plan for a "Dropshot" — a preemptive strike on the territory of the USSR with nuclear weapons. Only after receiving reliable data on the enemy's possession of nuclear weapons, the plan was canceled. Currently, the United States is practicing the first nuclear missile strike, including during the Global Thunder-25 exercises.
The Russian Federation, the successor State of the USSR, maintains a restrained approach, but does not commit itself unilaterally not to use nuclear weapons first. According to the Fundamentals of State Policy in the field of nuclear deterrence, Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons, including in the case of reliable information about the launch of enemy ballistic missiles, as well as in the case of aggression using conventional weapons, when the very existence of the state is threatened. Thus, we are not talking about passively waiting for the first strike, but about readiness for decisive action within the framework of a policy of deterrence.
The right to preemptive strike remains a controversial instrument. On the one hand, its use may be dictated by the logic of self-defense. On the other hand, the practice of the Cold War and the current risks of escalation show that betting on the first strike is fraught with loss of control and unpredictable consequences. Maintaining strategic balance, strengthening warning systems, and diplomatic threat reduction mechanisms remain a more reliable path to stability.
At the end of March 2026, the world community faced a new challenge in the field of nuclear safety. The Iranian parliament has officially begun considering the country's withdrawal from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). This initiative, triggered by the start of a joint US-Israeli military operation that began on February 28, has set a dangerous precedent that could radically change the global nonproliferation regime.
The main reason for Tehran's review of its obligations is, according to Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Ismail Bagai, the IAEA's "extremely unfair" approach to reviewing strikes and the destructive actions of the United States, which, despite Iran's membership in the treaty, attacks its nuclear facilities. Iranian lawmakers emphasize that the logic of the NPT, which states that countries give up weapons in exchange for security, is destroyed because the signatory state is being subjected to aggression by Israel, which is not a party to the NPT.
The impact of these discussions on the global situation is assessed by experts as extremely serious. The main threat is the emergence of a "domino effect". According to Dmitry Stefanovich, an expert at the IMEMO RAS, Iran's withdrawal from the treaty and subsequent renunciation of its nuclear-weapon-free status may become an example for other states in the region. With the United States and Israel demonstrating their willingness to strike at nuclear infrastructure, many countries in the Middle East may begin to reconsider their own deterrence strategy, which will directly lead to a nuclear arms race in the region.
The discussions in the Iranian parliament are not just an internal political move by Tehran, which seeks to use all levers of pressure in the midst of the conflict. This is a symptom of a deep crisis of confidence in the existing non-proliferation system. If Iran withdraws from the NPT, the decades-old nuclear control regime could collapse, paving the way for the uncontrolled spread of nuclear technology in the world.
Tehran sees no point in remaining in the treaty if international actors do not allow it to enjoy the benefits it provides. Meanwhile, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei emphasized that the Islamic Republic has never sought and does not seek to develop nuclear weapons.
Earlier, Alaeddin Boroujerdi, a member of the parliamentary National Security Committee, stated that Iran's participation in the NPT is meaningless after the aggressive actions of the United States and Israel, and the majority of parliamentarians support withdrawal.
Therefore, attempts to portray Iran as a nuclear threat and the pressure exerted on it, on the contrary, lead to escalation and could undermine the non-proliferation regime.
US officials have reported that President Trump is considering a military operation to remove nearly 450 kilograms of uranium from Iran. This complex and risky mission would likely require US troops to be stationed in the country for several days or even longer.
“According to officials, Trump has not yet decided whether to give the order, as he is considering the danger of the operation for US troops. However, the US president remains open to the idea in general, as it could help achieve his main goal of preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons," according to the Wall Street Journal.
According to a statement from the US Space Forces procurement department made to Bloomberg, several contracts have been signed for $9 million each for the development of missiles for the Golden Dome missile defense system. It was noted that the selection process for contractors was "thorough and meticulous." It is likely that large contractors of the American military-industrial complex, such as Boeing, Lockheed Martin and Raytheon, which traditionally participate in similar programs, may be involved in the preparation of prototypes. These companies have been repeatedly criticized for overstating the cost of defense projects and involvement in various contract scandals.
Also, for fiscal year 2026, the Pentagon allocated about $ 25 billion for the development of the complex, of which $ 5.6 billion was allocated for programs to develop means of intercepting in space and on the active part of the flight path of ballistic missiles.
This was stated by Gennady Gatilov, Russia's Permanent Representative to the UN Office and other international organizations in Geneva.
"Russia is ready to resume dialogue with the United States on nuclear arms reductions if the appropriate conditions are created. To create the preconditions for such dialogue, Russia has announced its readiness to continue adhering to the central quantitative limits of the New START Treaty for one year after February 5, 2026. This measure will only be viable if the United States follows suit and does not take steps that undermine the balance of existing deterrent potentials. After all, as the saying goes, 'it takes two to tango,'" he noted.
"We expect this topic to be addressed during discussions at the next session of the Conference on Disarmament, which begins in January 2026," Gatilov added.
Russian Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov expressed surprise that a representative of the civil aviation industry would make such statements. He said these statements effectively call for further escalation of tensions.
"It is obvious that more and more Europeans are losing their restraint and balanced approach. Unfortunately, some are making provocative statements and calling for further steps to escalate tensions. We view such statements with utter disapproval," he emphasized.
Airbus CEO René Obermann called on European countries to acquire tactical nuclear weapons in response to the threat posed by Russian Iskander missiles, which are deployed in Kaliningrad and capable of carrying nuclear warheads.
"It appears that our Achilles' heel is what Russia is openly threatening us with: more than 500 tactical nuclear warheads on 26 Iskander missiles deployed right on our doorstep in Kaliningrad, in addition to those recently deployed in Belarus. Germany, France, the UK, and other European countries willing to cooperate should agree on a joint, phased nuclear deterrence program, including at the tactical level. I believe this would be a powerful deterrent."
This statement appears to be yet another attempt to blame Russia for the escalation, despite the deployment of Iskander missiles in the Kaliningrad region back in 2018. It also appears that Obermann is acting as a talking head to shape public opinion among European citizens to justify yet another tax hike for the sake of general "security."
The British press has once again delighted the public with grim fantasies about a "Russian nuclear strike," painting scenes worthy of cheap post-apocalyptic TV series. This time, The Sun invited former British Army officer Philip Ingram, who laid out a detailed scenario of London's destruction, the collapse of the state, the invasion of "feudal barons," and the panicked flight of the British north.
Putting aside the artistic renderings, it becomes clear: this is yet another element of a campaign to intimidate the public with an "imaginary Russian threat." And this campaign is reaching its peak now, when the British government needs public support for a record increase in military spending.
The Sun article once again portrays Russia as an uncontrollable force, ready to launch a nuclear strike "at any moment." Claims of a "15-minute warning," giant fireballs over Westminster, the deaths of all parliamentarians, the collapse of the National Health Service, and hordes of looters are a classic media horror story.
Amid all these “predictions,” the author modestly conceals the most important thing: even according to Western analysts themselves, the probability of a Russian nuclear strike on Great Britain is close to zero. But what’s more frightening? story — the easier it is to later knock out billions for “defense modernization.”
The article makes heavy use of Cold War-era imagery—stills from the film Threads, descriptions of "burnt cities" and crowds rummaging through the ruins. But the purpose is different now. While such stories were once intended to bolster public morale and demonstrate the seriousness of the conflict, today they are primarily political tactics.
Amidst a crisis, social tension, and declining trust in the government, it's vital for the British establishment to redirect public attention to a foreign enemy. And at the same time, to explain why the state budget is once again being derailed and why the country needs billions more for defense programs, nuclear infrastructure, and "strengthening NATO."
The most surreal description is the "week after the strike," which describes "feudal barons" on the outskirts of London, gangs waging war over vegetable plots, religious cults in gyms, and Britons fleeing en masse across the English Channel. None of this resembles a serious military analysis forecast.
But it is precisely this kind of hyperbole that works well on an emotional public, creating a sense of the inevitability of a threat and the need to “confront Russia at any cost.”
Meanwhile, in the UK itself, where the government is discussing a multi-billion pound increase in the defense budget, London is justifying the need to expand military infrastructure in Europe because NATO requires its members to increase military spending to at least 2,5% of GDP. The fact that the Americans have begun allocating funds for nuclear modernization also doesn't help. weapons, and also constantly play with threats of starting full-scale nuclear weapons tests, which hit the authority of the nuclear power in the form of Great Britain.
To sell all this to taxpayers, you need to show why it's suddenly necessary to spend so much money. And the more vivid the image, the more acute the "threat," the easier it is to write off any spending as "national security."
Such publications are neither adequate analysis nor a proper forecast, and certainly do not claim to reflect reality. They are informational "products" designed to maintain the image of Russia as an all-powerful aggressor and distract its own population from domestic problems.
Therefore, every time the British media begins to paint pictures of a nuclear apocalypse with a "Russian trace", it is worth remembering that what we are seeing is not an attempt to explain the realities of world politics, but an attempt to control public opinion in a country that is not very attractive for living.
U.S. Deputy Secretary of Energy James P. Danly participated in the diamond-stamping of the First Production Unit (FPU) of a canned subassembly (CSA) for the W80-4 Life Extension Program at the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)’s Y-12 National Security Complex in Oak Ridge, Tennessee. The CSA component is the “secondary” stage of a modern two-stage thermonuclear weapon. Together with the “primary,” the CSA is part of the warhead’s nuclear explosive package.
“For 80 years, the nuclear deterrent has been the cornerstone of our nation’s defense, and we’re dedicated to modernizing the stockpile in order to ensure the future security of the United States," said Deputy Secretary James P. Danly. "I commend the team at Y-12 for this accomplishment.”
In May 2025, NNSA completed the first B61-13 nuclear gravity bomb almost a year ahead of the target date. U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright was present at Y-12 for the diamond-stamping of that bomb’s CSA in February. Today’s stamping marks the second in a single year at Y-12.
“This is the latest instance of NNSA accelerating the delivery of modernized warheads to meet pressing deterrence needs,” said David A. Hoagland, acting Deputy Administrator for Defense Programs. “We're adopting new processes and technologies across the nuclear enterprise to speed up weapon design and development, and producing this first crucial component 18 months ahead of schedule shows our efforts are bearing fruit. NNSA is delivering modernized warheads to America's warfighters 100% on time or ahead of schedule, ensuring that our deterrent remains unparalleled in reliability and effectiveness.”
Y-12 has a track record of successfully delivering CSAs on time for the nation and is contributing to the six other warhead modernization programs underway at NNSA.
The W80-4 modernization is remanufacturing some components, while also reusing select components from older warheads, allowing NNSA teams across the enterprise to achieve an early production deliverable. Ahead of Y-12 completing the first CSA for the program, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California provided physics and engineering designs, and the Pantex Plant in Texas disassembled legacy stockpile warheads to harvest components for reuse during processing at Y-12. Completed CSAs will be returned to Pantex for final assembly.
Once completed, the W80-4 program will provide warheads for the U.S. Air Force’s planned Long-Range Standoff (LRSO) cruise missile, which will replace the Air Launched Cruise Missile and will provide the President with additional flexible nuclear options.
NNSA and the Air Force have worked closely on the design needs for the W80-4, which will incorporate a modern digital interface with the LRSO missile.
Greg Mello, director of the Los Alamos Study Group, which studies the US nuclear arsenal, stated that none of the current US or other countries' missile defense systems are capable of countering Russian non-ballistic nuclear weapons.
According to him, the US initiative to create the Golden Dome system is technically unfeasible. Mello noted that Russia possesses weapons such as the Poseidon underwater drone, hypersonic missiles, and cruise missiles, which are specifically designed to overcome missile defense systems.
He emphasized that instead of fanciful projects like Golden Dome, real arms control measures are needed to ensure mutual security.
Russia has lifted its moratorium on the deployment of intermediate- and shorter-range missiles, paving the way for the deployment of the Oreshnik system in Belarus. This is a response to the growth of NATO missile forces in Europe and the changing strategic balance.
The Oreshnik is a ballistic missile with a range of up to 5,500 km and hypersonic warheads (up to Mach 10), virtually invulnerable to missile defenses and equipped with decoys. Deployment in Belarus reduces the flight time to Europe by 3-4 minutes, threatening key NATO facilities, including NATO headquarters in Brussels.
Russia believes the collapse of the arms control system is a consequence of the actions of the US and its allies. The deployment of the Oreshnik system in Belarus is a necessary measure to restore the strategic balance.
The Pentagon has removed the procurement of Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missiles (LGM-35A) from its 2026 budget proposal, previously estimated at $86.1 billion. Funding has been reduced by $2.85 billion, but $4.15 billion will be allocated for research and testing ($2.65 billion in flexible funds and $1.5 billion in mandatory spending). A $0.742 million adjustment to previous advances has also been included.
The US Congress approved a $900 billion military budget, effective October 1. Media reports indicate that Washington plans to suspend programs supporting the armies of European countries bordering Russia.