MMW: The GOP will go through a metamorphosis and completely change by 2030
The GOP is currently a zombie. It is functionally dead. Trump during his first term has purged the party of its intellectual diversity, its institutional power, its safeguards, and its established factions. He removed everyone and everything that opposed him in anyway. This left the GOP as a shell of itself where the only Republicans left were either blind loyalists or slimy opportunists.
Because of this, the GOP currently stands for absolutely nothing. It has no platform, no leadership, no morals, no structure, no institutional power, nothing. Everything starts and stops with Trump. The party is so gutted that Trump can do the most criminal, most insane, and most damaging things and nobody in the party would even oppose him, let alone stop him.
This works now because he's still there, but what happens when he dies? I firmly believe that when Trump dies, MAGA will die with him because a cult cannot survive without the spell of its leader. If MAGA is out, where does that leave the GOP? The answer is a clean slate.
A lot of people think the GOP will collapse and disappear without MAGA, but I disagree with this notion. Political parties are entities that always evolve to ensure their survival. The GOP will be around as long as there is a desire for conservatism in society, and there will always be such a desire in any society.
The Republican party will evolve to match the political appetite of the current American public. The polls have consistently shown that the American public is increasingly becoming more socially conservative and more economically liberal. In other words, the inverse of the previous era's status quo, which was being socially liberal but fiscally conservative.
The new GOP could look similar to what it is like now on social issues where its mostly culture war driven, but perhaps a bit more principled and coherent. I do think they'll compromise on issues like drugs and abortion, but they'll still be against things like multiculturalism, DEI, and trans rights while also being nationalist. Economically, I do think they'll abandon Reagan era positions like free trade, deregulation, and corporate tax cuts and adopt a more populist position like being pro universal healthcare, worker rights, better public transport, and government intervention in the economy.
If the GOP does end up going through this kind of change, I am fully confident that they will unlock a huge and dormant section of the voting population that will turn out for them in droves, thus keeping them relevant for decades to come.