MMW: The GOP will go through a metamorphosis and completely change by 2030
The GOP is currently a zombie. It is functionally dead. Trump during his first term has purged the party of its intellectual diversity, its institutional power, its safeguards, and its established factions. He removed everyone and everything that opposed him in anyway. This left the GOP as a shell of itself where the only Republicans left were either blind loyalists or slimy opportunists.
Because of this, the GOP currently stands for absolutely nothing. It has no platform, no leadership, no morals, no structure, no institutional power, nothing. Everything starts and stops with Trump. The party is so gutted that Trump can do the most criminal, most insane, and most damaging things and nobody in the party would even oppose him, let alone stop him.
This works now because he's still there, but what happens when he dies? I firmly believe that when Trump dies, MAGA will die with him because a cult cannot survive without the spell of its leader. If MAGA is out, where does that leave the GOP? The answer is a clean slate.
A lot of people think the GOP will collapse and disappear without MAGA, but I disagree with this notion. Political parties are entities that always evolve to ensure their survival. The GOP will be around as long as there is a desire for conservatism in society, and there will always be such a desire in any society.
The Republican party will evolve to match the political appetite of the current American public. The polls have consistently shown that the American public is increasingly becoming more socially conservative and more economically liberal. In other words, the inverse of the previous era's status quo, which was being socially liberal but fiscally conservative.
The new GOP could look similar to what it is like now on social issues where its mostly culture war driven, but perhaps a bit more principled and coherent. I do think they'll compromise on issues like drugs and abortion, but they'll still be against things like multiculturalism, DEI, and trans rights while also being nationalist. Economically, I do think they'll abandon Reagan era positions like free trade, deregulation, and corporate tax cuts and adopt a more populist position like being pro universal healthcare, worker rights, better public transport, and government intervention in the economy.
If the GOP does end up going through this kind of change, I am fully confident that they will unlock a huge and dormant section of the voting population that will turn out for them in droves, thus keeping them relevant for decades to come.
The GoP has been hollowed out by the plutocrats, and will go on as a front for them. They're selling a home for religious zealots and the privileged, with an image of conservatism. The sales pitch is working, so they'll keep selling it. Deregulation, incarceration, and cutting all social welfare programs will continue, as long as they have the votes to do it. They won't compromise on anything that requires higher taxes, like universal health care. And they'll burn everything to the ground before allowing anything resembling unions. If it can be thought of as 'public' they're more than happy to sell it or burn it. Less problems for them as far as they're concerned.
I disagree with this. Political parties have radically changed multiple times in the past. If the remained as they were, like you're claiming with the GOP now, then the Democratic party would've still been the rallying point for slave owners and segregationists, but that demographic moved over to a different party and the Democrats formed a new coalition. I see the same thing happening now.
The oligarchs will run the MAGA GOP train until it breaks, and when that happens, they'll move on to the next thing. This will leave behind an empty shell that used to be the Republican party. There's bound to be people who would want to take advantage of the GOP's name and historical significance to launch themselves on to the scene, and the only way they can take power is to form new coalitions by altering the party's identity and platforms. I'm fully confident this will happen within the next two presidential cycles.
The oligarchs behind Trump are more than happy to continue the GoP as is, once Trump kicks the bucket. They're happy with the appointments they've made and the peons they have in place. That's why the GoP won't crumble, thought it may fracture a bit. Even if they lose majorities, they'll still have enough power to stop reform and repair. If anything they'll purge the most loyal of Trumps followers, in order to project that they've cleaned up the party, while the Dems have just become more corrupt. Which it will be, since they'll be paying for some Dem opposition as well.
What they're putting in place now, are the locks to prevent reform. So that no matter what the population wants, it won't restrict them from maintaining their wealth. Reforms and repair won't happen without a super majority plus a 3 vote margin in the Senate. That's what it's designed to do. That's the job of the Senate, to make sure the plebs don't actually get to wield power.
The Trump Org will try to turn the office of the President into a legacy office with Don Jr. or Ivanka next in line (sorry Eric!)