Analysis: ‘Greater than 99% chance’ 2023 will be hottest year on record
https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-greater-than-99-chance-2023-will-be-hottest-year-on-record/Open linkView original on slrpnk.net214
Comments22https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-greater-than-99-chance-2023-will-be-hottest-year-on-record/Open linkView original on slrpnk.net
Probably the same chance for 2024 with el nino
2025 isn't looking that great either.
The history of temperature rise has not been monotonic. So I'd expect a period of a few years where we don't set a new record.
Yes but that doesn't mean we've reached the current peak yet.
Exactly, don't forget that climate change goes extreme in both directions, so we may very well face the coldest year on record too.
Basically no chance of that happening. Temperatures are rising, just with a bit of noise:
Monotonic would mean that each year is strictly warmer than the last one, but the noise is big enough that we sometimes get a few slightly less warm years before the next record.
The bigger picture looks like this:
But the good news is that it'll be the coolest year for the foreseeable future 🙂
maybe ever again.
Not how it works actually.
Okay, within the bounds of your lifetime.
Also np.
I found the optimist!
…so far.
For anyone who doesn't have one. I can highly recommend those dumb looking straw hats that old people wear at the beach and sporting events. Works real good at keeping you cool. Just uh, don't expect to be fashionable while wearing it lol
Counterpoint: Nathan Lane in The Birdcage was fabulous in his floppy hat.
When I see this headline, I always have to try to resist the urge to be like "no shit it's the hottest year on record, it'a going to keep being the hottest year on record cause the planet is getting hotter on average, and we know exactly why that is"
Later: Well technically the average temperature of 2023 was actually pretty moderate, but that's only because the entire world was wrapped in a brutal ice age beginning in December.
turned out Captain Planet was sick of our shit
The power is mine, bitches
Meanwhile in the UK, still waiting for the summer. :(
didn't it hit 32 for like a week straight in September
We do live on an island directly on the middle of two weather fronts.
It’s either cold air from up north or warm air from the med that wins. Usually the cold wins unfortunately.