Spyke

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38 replies

It was actually clear right then and there that the numbers were no longer reliable, when Trump fired the head of the statistics agency because he didn't like the job market figures, right?

11

those 800k arnt STEM/health or tech jobs thats for sure. could be "farm produce picking jobs"

2

Been jobless since June, having a masters doesn’t help. 200+ applications and only 12 declines.

18
lemmy.today

which field? tech? some people havnt been getting job for 1-3years, masters reduces your job field by alot.

1
lemmy.ml

Honestly asking workers about their ability to get a raise or a new job and you would have discovered how weak labor (and the labor market) is right now.

20

Aaking about the opinions of workers is too close to socialism for most economists.

13

Not at all surprising.

These assholes sit there and lie through their teeth, constantly, about "Biden's economy". No surprise they'd like about the situation under the donnie dumbfuck regime.

24
dboft.com

Remember, this will cause the stock market to go up because we're ruled by psychos.

88
Prataireply
piefed.ca

You can barely even disagree with non-voters on most of the main .world communities or you’ll be banned.

4

Yeah. .world’s politics community has gone to shit. They’re too afraid to upset .ml so they won’t do what’s necessary to shut down these non-voting trumpets.

7
iopqreply
lemmy.world

No, it will cause it to go up because of the Federal Reserve mandate. The Fed has to weigh inflation against employment. If employment numbers are bad, the Fed cuts rates which makes it:

  1. More cheap for companies to borrow
  2. Less attractive for investors to hold bonds
10
kalmanreply
dboft.com

Maybe in 2010 but I could argue that's now how it works today.

1
fullsquarereply
awful.systems

no way lol, if anything there's another hike incoming

SAN FRANCISCO, Oct 14 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve will probably need to increase short-term interest rates further to ‌rein in too-high inflation, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said on Wednesday, but she signaled there is no need to do so at the US central bank's October 27-28 meeting.

8

So there was a planned hike, but due to the revision there isn't going to be one. So how is that not good news for the stock market? It was bracing for the hike

1

You can tell the Fed doesn't know what to do given they keep pretending inflation is tied to economic activity and not trade wars and actual wars.

In a normal world the Fed would be calling on the President or Congress to enact policy to curb inflation since its a type of inflation the Fed has no control over, but no one seems to want to call Trump on all the damage he's been doing.

6

Right that it still tilts that direction, but it is true that they will lower rates to try to improve employment if employment looks bad, as a general point of strategy. Currently inflation is so bad that even this bad news doesn't really move the needle in this case.

2
pmkreply

Unless a rate hike is deemed necessary despite a weak job market due to the bond yields... JPow always mentioned the dual mandate, but I wonder which of them is more important right now.

2
piefed.social

If the dems actually get some oversight I wonder if we will find out how revised this economy actually needs to be from the BLS manipulations.

Maybe we’ve been in a heavy recession since the start of this year? Longer?

16
lemmy.world

Not to beat a dead horse but isn't AI a huge chunk of the US economy right now? The same AI that needs to make more money than exists on earth to justify its expenditures? My bet would be longer and the balance sheet looks worse than any of us can imagine.

1

It’s possible! I’d love to see the actual data if it even still exists!

1

I've never understood why they even release those numbers when they do. They always get revised. Always. And with this administration, you can't even trust the revisions.

4

bad job employments are usually very hazardous to incumbent politicians, and the associated party. thats why its always cooking the books.

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