Hey I've got a great~/s~ idea: let's make a market for assassination derivatives! Since the prediction markets don't allow you to bet on a person's death directly, someone could make a separate app to algorithmically find all the open prediction market bets expected to either resolve- or become a whole lot more likely or unlikely- if a specific famous person dies by a certain date, then package positions on those all into something like an ETF, and let people anonymously daytrade them for crypto.
11 replies
I thought trumpets loved the prediction market when they control it and benefit from it, and part own it (little don)
That's one of the reasons prediction markets are a shitty idea
Someone lost a lot of money on Polymarket, didn't he
The greatest danger to troops is Hegseth.
pretty sure hesgeth judgement is already warped, from his alcohol addled brain.
Hey I've got a great~/s~ idea: let's make a market for assassination derivatives! Since the prediction markets don't allow you to bet on a person's death directly, someone could make a separate app to algorithmically find all the open prediction market bets expected to either resolve- or become a whole lot more likely or unlikely- if a specific famous person dies by a certain date, then package positions on those all into something like an ETF, and let people anonymously daytrade them for crypto.
What judgement? He's fired everyone with a brain by now.
Like he gives a shit about troops
there is no "prediction matket". it's called "gambling"
It's not gambling if they control the outcome
oh no, not the consequences of our actions...