[Weekly Update] Week 4

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[Weekly Update] Week 4

God I love watching lane kiffin lose. Don't get me wrong a lot of other great things happened last week, but kiffin eating shit on a national stage has got to be the highlight of the year so far for me. Be sure to submit your balot for the official c/cfb poll below!

Poll Link: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd0rtUZeSdhahSB2YDjXhuyH3biVribG-htMbVF2JbIbjGdpA/viewform?usp=publish-editor

The Pick 'Em was even worse than last week, except HeronHouseHamilton comes out swinging with a high score of 6!

Username	Week 0	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Score	Average
g0d0fm15ch13f	5	3	4	3	15	3.75
HeronHouseHamilton	5	5	4	6	20	5
olmecssb	4	-	5	4	13	4.33
Gloriousgashole	5	4	-	-	9	4.5
Yeehawboy	-	4	-	-	4	4
milkisklim	-	-	3	2	5	2.5
wjrii	-	-	5	-	5	5
redkid1234	-	-	2	-	2	2
njm1314	-	-	-	4	4	4

This week the season really kicks off, fantastic games with potentially huge implications all over the country. Pick your winners here: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd5qmHgk_IayeQLjzQhflaHA0fO7RUnFD4GozDSb199v540Eg/viewform?usp=dialog

Poll and Pick 'Em Results Link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1pHnmiZaW79A21_e_YG7tBdg_nd0Mr506c_hKyuXdFQ8/edit?resourcekey=&gid=1432556095#gid=1432556095

View original on fanaticus.social

Comments5

5 replies

WVbrU

lemmy.world

Three games in and my poll is starting to make a little sense. It's based on a new computer poll I made up. If you beat a team, you "earn" their wins. Lose and you get their losses. Sprinkle on some math and repeat until it stabilizes. Here's my ballot.

Texas
Duke
Ole Miss
Miami
Michigan
Indiana
Notre Dame
Alabama
Florida
USC
UTSA
Boise State
Mississippi State
Kansas State
Penn State
UCLA
Pittsburgh
Tulsa
Virginia Tech
James Madison
Memphis
App State
South Florida
Cincinnati
Oregon

HeronHouseHamilton

lemmy.zip

I'm not super confident in my week 4 picks.

anhydrous

lemmy.world

Algorithm says:

::: spoiler spoiler

   1    Virginia Tech - 3-0 - 160.3
   2    Alabama - 3-0 - 160.3
   3    Florida - 3-0 - 159.88
   4    Western Michigan - 3-0 - 159.03
   5    UCLA - 3-0 - 155.45
   6    Miami (FL) - 3-0 - 155.45
   7    Duke - 3-0 - 154.82
   8    BYU - 3-0 - 154.82
   9    Mississippi State - 3-0 - 154.82
  10    West Virginia - 3-0 - 152.43
  11    Notre Dame - 3-0 - 151.33
  12    Ole Miss - 3-0 - 151.33
  13    Tulsa - 3-0 - 151.33
  14    Penn State - 3-0 - 151.33
  15    Pittsburgh - 3-0 - 151.33
  16    USC - 4-0 - 150.39
  17    Northwestern - 2-0 - 148.22
  18    Texas - 3-0 - 148.22
  19    Missouri - 3-0 - 147.67
  20    Vanderbilt - 3-0 - 147.67
  21    James Madison - 3-0 - 147.67
  22    Texas Tech - 3-0 - 147.67
  23    Cincinnati - 3-0 - 144
  24    Iowa - 3-0 - 144
  25    North Dakota State - 4-0 - 139.5

:::

As last year, combines W-L % with "best win" - helps neutralize against cases where teams have played a different number of games. Does not take previous season into account.

Had to update from last year to include Sac state, and ND state. I hope those are the only 2?

Apparently, my algorithm is not impressed by #68 Ohio State. #33 Kentucky is the highest rated team that has a loss. ND State making the rankings in their first season. Also, I believe that they hold the best winning percentage since changing sub-divisions, at 100%

ToasterOverlord

fanaticus.social

My ballot. Pure computer poll. Now that we are fully in the transfer portal era, I don't do preseason calculations anymore. Which means it is simply additive, so USC in the top spot is a bit misleading. But I've always stubbornly felt that averaging results by number of games played isn't really fair. (What if the season were to end all of a sudden? The 2020 season kind of put that to the test.)

::: spoiler Full ranking:

Rank	Change	Team	Record	Points
1	-	USC	4-0	240
2	-	Texas	3-0	228
3	-	Notre Dame	3-0	227
4	-	Mississippi State	3-0	219
5	-	Alabama	3-0	216
6	-	Ohio State	2-1	213
7	-	Penn State	3-0	207
8	-	Ole Miss	3-0	206
9	-	LSU	2-1	201
10	-	Texas A&M	2-1	198
11	-	Pittsburgh	3-0	195
12	-	UCLA	3-0	193
13	-	Duke	3-0	187
14	-	North Dakota State	4-0	186
T15	-	Michigan	3-0	182
T15	-	Georgia	3-0	182
17	-	Miami (FL)	3-0	180
18	-	Oklahoma	2-1	173
19	-	Utah	3-0	169
20	-	Auburn	2-1	166
21	-	Tennessee	3-0	160
22	-	Indiana	3-0	159
23	-	Nebraska	3-0	157
24	-	Florida	3-0	154
25	-	Wake Forest	2-1	150
T26	-	Michigan State	2-1	147
T26	-	Fresno State	2-1	147
28	-	Memphis	3-1	146
T29	-	Iowa	3-0	145
T29	-	Iowa State	2-1	145
31	-	Virginia Tech	3-0	141
T32	-	South Carolina	2-1	140
T32	-	Florida State	1-2	140
34	-	Oklahoma State	2-1	139
35	-	BYU	3-0	138
T36	-	Missouri	3-0	137
T36	-	Virginia	2-1	137
T36	-	Louisville	2-1	137
39	-	Cincinnati	3-0	133
T40	-	Kansas State	3-0	130
T40	-	Tulsa	3-0	130
T40	-	New Mexico	2-1	130
43	-	West Virginia	3-0	128
T44	-	Kentucky	2-1	126
T44	-	TCU	2-1	126
T44	-	Tulane	1-2	126
T47	-	San Jose State	2-2	125
T47	-	Jacksonville State	2-2	125
49	-	FIU	1-2	124
T50	-	Maryland	2-1	123
T50	-	Clemson	2-1	123
T52	-	Houston	2-1	122
T52	-	Baylor	2-1	122
T54	-	Texas Tech	3-0	120
T54	-	SMU	2-1	120
T54	-	UCF	2-1	120
T54	-	Hawaii	1-2	120
T54	-	UNT	1-2	120
T54	-	Eastern Michigan	1-3	120
T60	-	JMU	3-0	119
T60	-	North Carolina	2-1	119
T62	-	Arizona	2-1	118
T62	-	Illinois	2-1	118
T62	-	Western Michigan	2-1	118
T65	-	Rutgers	0-3	117
T65	-	UAB	1-2	117
67	-	Liberty	2-1	116
68	-	Vanderbilt	3-0	115
T69	-	Wisconsin	2-1	114
T69	-	Boise State	2-1	114
T69	-	Georgia State	2-1	114
72	-	Nevada	1-2	113
T73	-	USF	3-0	112
T73	-	Minnesota	2-1	112
T75	-	Oregon	2-1	111
T75	-	Connecticut	2-1	111
T77	-	Washington	3-0	109
T77	-	Appalachian State	3-0	109
79	-	Delaware	2-1	108
80	-	Syracuse	1-2	107
T81	-	Colorado State	2-1	106
T81	-	Ohio	1-2	106
83	-	Arizona State	2-1	105
T84	-	California	2-1	104
T84	-	Toledo	2-1	104
T86	-	Boston College	2-1	103
T86	-	Purdue	1-2	103
T86	-	UNLV	1-2	103
89	-	Middle Tennessee	2-1	102
90	-	Coastal Carolina	1-2	101
91	-	FAU	2-1	100
T92	-	Massachusetts	3-0	99
T92	-	Troy	2-1	99
T92	-	South Alabama	2-1	99
T92	-	ECU	1-2	99
T96	-	Marshall	2-1	98
T96	-	NC State	1-2	98
T98	-	Northwestern	2-0	97
T98	-	Kansas	1-2	97
T98	-	Oregon State	1-2	97
T101	-	Louisiana	2-1	96
T101	-	Sam Houston	1-2	96
103	-	Georgia Southern	1-2	95
104	-	Georgia Tech	1-2	94
105	-	UTSA	2-1	93
T106	-	Colorado	2-1	91
T106	-	Texas State	1-2	91
T108	-	New Mexico State	1-2	89
T108	-	Temple	1-2	89
T110	-	Stanford	1-2	85
T110	-	Washington State	1-2	85
112	-	Sacramento State	1-3	84
T113	-	San Diego State	1-2	82
T113	-	Old Dominion	1-2	82
T115	-	Central Michigan	2-1	80
T115	-	Louisiana Tech	1-2	80
T115	-	Utah State	0-3	80
118	-	Arkansas State	1-2	77
119	-	Miami (OH)	1-2	74
120	-	Charlotte	0-3	70
T121	-	Akron	1-2	69
T121	-	Kennesaw State	1-2	69
T121	-	Wyoming	1-2	69
T124	-	Arkansas	1-2	56
T124	-	Army	1-1	56
T124	-	Missouri State	1-2	56
T127	-	Buffalo	1-2	55
T127	-	Southern Mississippi	1-2	55
129	-	Rice	1-2	54
T130	-	Navy	1-1	52
T130	-	Air Force	1-1	52
T130	-	UL Monroe	0-3	52
T130	-	Northern Illinois	0-3	52
134	-	UTEP	1-2	41
135	-	Western Kentucky	0-3	35
136	-	Ball State	1-2	33
137	-	Kent State	1-2	22
138	-	Bowling Green	0-3	19

Olmec

retrolemmy.com

1 Ole Miss

2 Texas

3 Georgia

4 Indiana

5 Notre Dame

6 Miami

7 BYU

8 Ohio State

9 Utah

10 Alabama

11 Texas Tech

12 Tennessee

13 Iowa

14 USC

15 Penn State

16 Missouri

17 Louisville

18 LSU

19 Western Michigan

20 Pittsburg

21 UCLA

22 North Dakota State

23 Kansas State

24 West Virginia

25 SMU

26 Texas A&M

27 Florida

28 Michigan

29 Oklahoma

30 Oregon

This is the correct rankings.