Coreweave posts absurd results, but AI bubble inflates
The core lie behind AI economic fraud is that "compute capacity is scarce"
With interest costs and aggressive 6 year depreciation schedule of GPUs (datacenters used to depreciate over 3 years), Coreweave lost 24c for every $ in revenue it has. If compute were actually scarce, they could charge enough to actually break even.
Meanwhile, they have a $36B capex budget for the year to reduce scarcity even more, with only 250mw more of capacity expected to be complete this year. They have an 11% interest rate on their debt. If utility partners have delays in connecting their future datacenters, they face massive depreciation/interest costs, and cannot sue for damages related to those costs.
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I mean it's weird. I remember watching documentaries on the stock runup to Black Friday 1929 then reading about the cryptocurrency boom and thinking
are people completely stupid?
The answer is, yes: yes, they are stupid; and the ones who are not stupid are corrupt.
Also, its revenue per gw capacity dropped sequentially from Q1, by 16.5%.