Spyke
cfb·College Footballbym0d0fm15ch13f

Week 14 Poll Results (Finally) And Final Poll

Again, I believe that this is the premier National Poll and that we are about to crown a national champion. This week's poll will stay up at least through championship weekend as my expected reprieve is nowhere to be found.

Week 14 Results:

PlaceTeamPoints#1 VotesMovement
1Indiana732NR
2Ohio State711NR
3Texas A&M670NR
4Georgia640NR
T5Ole Miss580NR
T5Alabama580NR
T7Texas Tech560NR
T7Oklahoma560NR
9Oregon520NR
10BYU510NR
11Notre Dame360NR
T12Vanderbilt310NR
T12Miami (FL)310NR
14Georgia Tech300NR
15North Texas280NR
16Texas250NR
17Virginia230NR
18Tulane210NR
T19USC200NR
T19South Florida200NR
21James Madison180NR
T22Utah170NR
T22Michigan170NR
24Tennessee140NR
25Pittsburgh90NR

Link to the Poll:https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSc8NFsNvzr51rjxe5WE_WRWbrhkAMrX6pWjex1dacaiplQSsQ/viewform?fbzx=39910275387990179

View original on fanaticus.social
lemmy.world

Updated my algorithm to not "punish teams for playing in a conference championship": The championship winners get credit for winning, but losing those games doesn't affect a team's scoring...

Parentheses denote change in rank from the previous week:

  1. Indiana
  2. Texas Tech (+4)
  3. Ohio State (-1)
  4. Ole Miss (-1)
  5. Georgia (+2)
  6. Alabama (-1)
  7. Texas A&M (-3)
  8. Oklahoma
  9. BYU
  10. South Florida
  11. Tulane (+8)
  12. North Texas (-1)
  13. Oregon (-1)
  14. James Madison (-1)
  15. Texas (-1)
  16. THE Miami (of Florida) (-1)
  17. New Mexico (-1)
  18. Norte Dame (-1)
  19. Virginia (-1)
  20. Navy
  21. Louisville
  22. Vanderbilt
  23. Wake Forest
  24. Arizona State (+1)
  25. Georgia Tech (-1)

Other conference champions:

29 - Kennesaw State (+8)

36 - Boise State

37 - Duke (+21)

50 - Western Michigan (+5)

::: spoiler Full rankings:

Losers of championship games having "pseudo-records"

     1	Indiana - 13-0 - 183.88
     2	Texas Tech - 12-1 - 169.28
     3	Ohio State - 12-0 - 167.08
     4	Ole Miss - 11-1 - 166.83
     5	Georgia - 12-1 - 165.8
     6	Alabama - 10-2 - 165.2
     7	Texas A&M - 11-1 - 164.99
     8	Oklahoma - 10-2 - 160.16
     9	BYU - 11-1 - 158.2
    10	South Florida - 9-3 - 155.11
    11	Tulane - 11-2 - 153.66
    12	North Texas - 11-1 - 153.43
    13	Oregon - 11-1 - 150.12
    14	James Madison - 12-1 - 149.33
    15	Texas - 9-3 - 147.53
    16	Miami (FL) - 10-2 - 147.34
    17	New Mexico - 9-3 - 147.16
    18	Notre Dame - 10-2 - 146.32
    19	Virginia - 10-2 - 145.8
    20	Navy - 9-2 - 142.93
    21	Louisville - 8-4 - 140.24
    22	Vanderbilt - 10-2 - 139.63
    23	Wake Forest - 8-4 - 139.33
    24	Arizona State - 8-4 - 138.46
    25	Georgia Tech - 9-3 - 137.8
    26	Arizona - 9-3 - 137.36
    27	Houston - 9-3 - 137.36
    28	Utah - 10-2 - 137.22
    29	Kennesaw State - 10-3 - 136.31
    30	UNLV - 10-2 - 136.28
    31	San Diego State - 9-3 - 135.74
    32	Michigan - 9-3 - 135.61
    33	USC - 9-3 - 133.33
    34	Pittsburgh - 8-4 - 133.2
    35	TCU - 8-4 - 133.2
    36	Boise State - 9-4 - 132.28
    37	Duke - 8-5 - 131.14
    38	SMU - 8-4 - 130.56
    39	Fresno State - 8-4 - 129.51
    40	Memphis - 8-4 - 127.93
    41	Iowa State - 8-4 - 127.62
    42	Old Dominion - 9-3 - 126.41
    43	Illinois - 8-4 - 126.05
    44	UConn - 9-3 - 125.81
    45	Jacksonville State - 8-4 - 125.1
    46	Hawaiʻi - 8-4 - 124.43
    47	NC State - 7-5 - 123.17
    48	California - 7-5 - 120.8
    49	Clemson - 7-5 - 120.8
    50	Western Michigan - 9-4 - 120.7
    51	Toledo - 8-4 - 119.28
    52	Western Kentucky - 8-4 - 118.98
    53	Troy - 8-4 - 118.9
    54	Iowa - 8-4 - 118.62
    55	East Carolina - 8-4 - 118.43
    56	Washington - 8-4 - 118.33
    57	FIU - 7-5 - 117.12
    58	UTSA - 6-6 - 116.11
    59	Ohio - 8-4 - 112.33
    60	LSU - 7-5 - 112.16
    61	Miami (OH) - 7-5 - 111.33
    62	Utah State - 6-6 - 110.74
    63	Southern Miss - 7-5 - 110.44
    64	Cincinnati - 7-5 - 110.43
    65	Louisiana Tech - 7-5 - 109.87
    66	Arkansas State - 6-6 - 109.12
    67	Nebraska - 7-5 - 108.6
    68	Washington State - 6-6 - 108.43
    69	Florida State - 5-7 - 108.09
    70	Delaware - 6-6 - 106.93
    71	Tennessee - 8-4 - 105.96
    72	Missouri - 8-4 - 105.73
    73	Missouri State - 7-5 - 105.1
    74	Minnesota - 7-5 - 103.75
    75	Kansas State - 6-6 - 103.58
    76	Army - 6-5 - 103.07
    77	Texas State - 6-6 - 102.9
    78	Georgia Southern - 6-6 - 102.44
    79	Baylor - 5-7 - 102.21
    80	West Virginia - 4-8 - 100.2
    81	Marshall - 5-7 - 98.33
    82	Louisiana - 6-6 - 98.04
    83	Rice - 5-7 - 97.78
    84	Penn State - 6-6 - 97.1
    85	Northwestern - 6-6 - 95.91
    86	Central Michigan - 7-5 - 95.46
    87	Mississippi State - 5-7 - 95.45
    88	Kansas - 5-7 - 93.82
    89	UCF - 5-7 - 93.44
    90	Florida - 4-8 - 93.14
    91	Kentucky - 5-7 - 92.41
    92	Rutgers - 5-7 - 91.44
    93	Coastal Carolina - 6-6 - 87.72
    94	Michigan State - 4-8 - 86.33
    95	San Jose State - 3-9 - 85.61
    96	UAB - 4-8 - 85.43
    97	Wisconsin - 4-8 - 85.33
    98	Akron - 5-7 - 84.9
    99	Bowling Green - 4-8 - 84.41
   100	Temple - 5-7 - 83.67
   101	Ball State - 4-8 - 83.44
   102	Auburn - 5-7 - 82.14
   103	Syracuse - 3-9 - 81.93
   104	Tulsa - 4-8 - 81.75
   105	Stanford - 4-8 - 80.1
   106	Virginia Tech - 3-9 - 80.07
   107	Kent State - 5-7 - 79.85
   108	South Alabama - 4-8 - 79
   109	Buffalo - 5-7 - 78.46
   110	Colorado - 3-9 - 77.43
   111	Appalachian State - 5-7 - 76.67
   112	Liberty - 4-8 - 74.67
   113	Florida Atlantic - 4-8 - 74.02
   114	Eastern Michigan - 4-8 - 72.73
   115	Wyoming - 4-8 - 71.85
   116	South Carolina - 4-8 - 71.58
   117	Colorado State - 2-10 - 68.82
   118	ULM - 3-9 - 66.77
   119	Maryland - 4-8 - 66.73
   120	UCLA - 3-9 - 64.78
   121	Air Force - 4-8 - 63.17
   122	North Carolina - 4-8 - 63.17
   123	New Mexico State - 4-8 - 61.9
   124	Arkansas - 2-10 - 57.77
   125	Oregon State - 2-10 - 57.67
   126	Sam Houston - 2-10 - 57.67
   127	Nevada - 3-9 - 56.33
   128	Middle Tennessee - 3-9 - 54.52
   129	Northern Illinois - 3-9 - 54.33
   130	1-AA Team - 4-122 - 48.75
   131	Purdue - 2-10 - 45.33
   132	Boston College - 2-10 - 44.75
   133	UTEP - 2-10 - 34.65
   134	Charlotte - 1-11 - 8
   135	Georgia State - 1-11 - 8
   136	Oklahoma State - 1-11 - 8
   137	UMass - 0-12 - 0

:::

Who would have guessed 2 years ago that Indiana would go on to be the empirically best team after championship week in just 2 years time?

Algorithm is a combination of team record and their "best win". No MoV, human influence, or previous season influence.

3

I was thinking about doing that for my algorithm. But at the same time, if you get absolutely embarrassed in your CCG (cough Bama & BYU cough), maybe your rating should drop at least a bit...

2
lemmy.world

Here are my rankings for this week. I will hold off submitting a poll until the Championship games have been played.

No real surprises here. OSU retakes the top spot, Texas A&M drops, putting them on the bubble. Pitt, SMU, and ASU drop out of the Top 25, being replaced by Navy, USF, and Iowa. ND persists at #4.

If you used this to CFP seeding, the Top 10 all make it in, with North Texas and JMU over any ACC team.

  1. Ohio State
  2. Indiana
  3. Texas Tech
  4. Notre Dame
  5. Oregon
  6. Georgia
  7. Oklahoma
  8. Utah
  9. Ole Miss
  10. Vanderbilt
  11. BYU
  12. Texas A&M
  13. Alabama
  14. Arizona
  15. North Texas
  16. Texas
  17. James Madison
  18. Miami
  19. USC
  20. Tulane
  21. Virginia
  22. Navy
  23. Michigan
  24. South Florida
  25. Iowa

::: spoiler Full Rankings

RankTeamRecordRatingSOS
1Ohio State(12-0)1482997
2Indiana(12-0)1473988
3Texas Tech(11-1)1459957
4Notre Dame(10-2)14441038
5Oregon(11-1)1440999
6Georgia(11-1)14261001
7Oklahoma(10-2)13871070
8Utah(10-2)1378979
9Ole Miss(11-1)1372993
10Vanderbilt(10-2)1364988
11BYU(11-1)13621057
12Texas A&M(11-1)13561014
13Alabama(10-2)13531040
14Arizona(9-3)1318978
15North Texas(11-1)1313924
16Texas(9-3)13081058
17James Madison(11-1)1301866
18Miami(10-2)1300988
19USC(9-3)12681075
20Tulane(10-2)1254989
21Virginia(10-2)1244935
22Navy(9-2)1232970
23Michigan(9-3)12261073
24South Florida(9-3)1225968
25Iowa(8-4)12241012
26New Mexico(9-3)1184885
27Missouri(8-4)1176993
28Washington(8-4)1173970
29UNLV(10-2)1173860
30Clemson(7-5)1170936
31UConn(9-3)1166827
32East Carolina(8-4)1165944
33TCU(8-4)11631001
34Old Dominion(9-3)1163873
35SMU(8-4)1159963
36Pittsburgh(8-4)1156964
37Arizona State(8-4)11541051
38Tennessee(8-4)1154993
39Iowa State(8-4)11491010
40Duke(7-5)11421023
41LSU(7-5)11381098
42Houston(9-3)1137946
43Illinois(8-4)11321041
44Toledo(8-4)1132846
45Wake Forest(8-4)1125946
46Penn State(6-6)11201051
47Kennesaw State(9-3)1118909
48Georgia Tech(9-3)1114963
49Western Michigan(8-4)1109874
50San Diego State(9-3)1106869
51Boise State(8-4)1095974
52NC State(7-5)10831054
53Kansas State(6-6)10721018
54Louisville(8-4)10711004
55Minnesota(7-5)1068992
56Florida International(7-5)1062894
57Jacksonville State(8-4)1059838
58Memphis(8-4)1056929
59California(7-5)1051938
60Hawai'i(8-4)1050881
61Fresno State(8-4)1048839
62Army(6-5)1045938
63Cincinnati(7-5)1043997
64Nebraska(7-5)1027978
65Troy(8-4)1023866
66Ohio(8-4)1019829
67Northwestern(6-6)10161015
68Miami (OH)(7-5)1006879
69Washington State(6-6)10051000
70Florida(4-8)10021120
71UTSA(6-6)997980
72Louisiana(6-6)987889
73South Carolina(4-8)9861115
74Louisiana Tech(7-5)986842
75Auburn(5-7)9851059
76Western Kentucky(8-4)982877
77Wisconsin(4-8)9721179
78Utah State(6-6)967975
79Arkansas State(6-6)960880
80Texas State(6-6)959900
81Georgia Southern(6-6)958931
82Kentucky(5-7)9481086
83Mississippi State(5-7)9481063
84Central Michigan(7-5)948839
85Baylor(5-7)9441036
86UCF(5-7)935988
87West Virginia(4-8)9301076
88Rutgers(5-7)9281050
89Missouri State(7-5)928891
90Kansas(5-7)9221049
91Stanford(4-8)9161081
92Temple(5-7)902982
93Air Force(4-8)899951
94Southern Miss(7-5)897877
95Michigan State(4-8)8821032
96UCLA(3-9)8781164
97Florida Atlantic(4-8)878992
98Coastal Carolina(6-6)874905
99Delaware(6-6)872869
100Rice(5-7)870989
101Florida State(5-7)8681036
102Kent State(5-7)844855
103UAB(4-8)843999
104Virginia Tech(3-9)8421064
105North Carolina(4-8)842963
106Eastern Michigan(4-8)838851
107Tulsa(4-8)836904
108Colorado(3-9)8241117
109Arkansas(2-10)8201108
110South Alabama(4-8)820907
111Akron(5-7)818793
112Nevada(3-9)800944
113App State(5-7)799863
114Boston College(2-10)7951019
115Marshall(5-7)795932
116Maryland(4-8)791972
117Middle Tennessee(3-9)785862
118Liberty(4-8)783910
119Wyoming(4-8)758904
120Buffalo(5-7)745852
121Purdue(2-10)7421111
122New Mexico State(4-8)725868
123Ball State(4-8)719896
124San José State(3-9)706949
125Syracuse(3-9)6951070
126Northern Illinois(3-9)693860
127Bowling Green(4-8)683838
128Oklahoma State(1-11)6821055
129Oregon State(2-10)668995
130Colorado State(2-10)641991
131Charlotte(1-11)6361020
132Sam Houston(2-10)636941
133UL Monroe(3-9)627923
134UTEP(2-10)625867
135Georgia State(1-11)604994
136Massachusetts(0-12)411880
:::
2

And here's the poll after championship weekend. It's pretty harsh on the losers, even Ohio State, who only lost by 3 to an equal opponent... And Notre Dame sits there at #4.

Fun fact: If you run my algo in reverse chronological order, ND ends up at #15. It was kind of by design for more recent games to matter more, but I didn't expect THAT much difference. I might play with ways to reduce that effect in the future.

  1. Indiana
  2. Texas Tech
  3. Georgia
  4. Notre Dame
  5. Oregon
  6. Ohio State
  7. Oklahoma
  8. Utah
  9. Ole Miss
  10. Vanderbilt
  11. Texas A&M
  12. Tulane
  13. James Madison
  14. Arizona
  15. Texas
  16. BYU
  17. Miami
  18. Alabama
  19. USC
  20. North Texas
  21. Navy
  22. Michigan
  23. South Florida
  24. Iowa
  25. Duke

::: spoiler Full Rankings

RankTeamRecordRatingSOS
1Indiana(13-0)15331025
2Texas Tech(12-1)1516979
3Georgia(12-1)14881019
4Notre Dame(10-2)14441044
5Oregon(11-1)14401004
6Ohio State(12-1)14221038
7Oklahoma(10-2)13871065
8Utah(10-2)1378979
9Ole Miss(11-1)13721004
10Vanderbilt(10-2)1364983
11Texas A&M(11-1)13561014
12Tulane(11-2)13231014
13James Madison(12-1)1319877
14Arizona(9-3)1318974
15Texas(9-3)13081058
16BYU(11-2)13051096
17Miami(10-2)1300988
18Alabama(10-3)12911079
19USC(9-3)12671074
20North Texas(11-2)1243958
21Navy(9-2)1232963
22Michigan(9-3)12251067
23South Florida(9-3)1225969
24Iowa(8-4)12231016
25Duke(8-5)12181034
26New Mexico(9-3)1184884
27Missouri(8-4)1176988
28Washington(8-4)1172964
29Clemson(7-5)1170941
30Virginia(10-3)1168963
31Boise State(9-4)1167978
32Kennesaw State(10-3)1166918
33UConn(9-3)1166833
34East Carolina(8-4)1165945
35TCU(8-4)1163997
36Old Dominion(9-3)1162878
37SMU(8-4)1159963
38Pittsburgh(8-4)1156964
39Arizona State(8-4)11541056
40Tennessee(8-4)1154993
41Western Michigan(9-4)1150872
42Iowa State(8-4)11491006
43LSU(7-5)11381093
44Houston(9-3)1137950
45Illinois(8-4)11321051
46Toledo(8-4)1131846
47Wake Forest(8-4)1125950
48Penn State(6-6)11201050
49Georgia Tech(9-3)1114975
50San Diego State(9-3)1106875
51UNLV(10-3)1101885
52NC State(7-5)10831054
53Kansas State(6-6)10721023
54Louisville(8-4)1071999
55Minnesota(7-5)1067987
56Florida International(7-5)1062894
57Memphis(8-4)1056933
58California(7-5)1051938
59Hawai'i(8-4)1050875
60Fresno State(8-4)1048845
61Army(6-5)1045938
62Cincinnati(7-5)1043992
63Nebraska(7-5)1026977
64Ohio(8-4)1018823
65Northwestern(6-6)10151020
66Jacksonville State(8-5)1011867
67Washington State(6-6)1005989
68Troy(8-5)1005900
69Florida(4-8)10021125
70UTSA(6-6)997980
71South Carolina(4-8)9861110
72Louisiana(6-6)986889
73Auburn(5-7)9851059
74Louisiana Tech(7-5)985846
75Western Kentucky(8-4)982873
76Wisconsin(4-8)9721170
77Utah State(6-6)967975
78Miami (OH)(7-6)963897
79Arkansas State(6-6)960882
80Texas State(6-6)959900
81Georgia Southern(6-6)958928
82Kentucky(5-7)9481092
83Mississippi State(5-7)9481068
84Central Michigan(7-5)948842
85Baylor(5-7)9441036
86UCF(5-7)935984
87West Virginia(4-8)9301076
88Missouri State(7-5)928894
89Rutgers(5-7)9271041
90Kansas(5-7)9221054
91Stanford(4-8)9161070
92Temple(5-7)902982
93Air Force(4-8)899951
94Southern Miss(7-5)896872
95Michigan State(4-8)8811039
96Florida Atlantic(4-8)878997
97UCLA(3-9)8771157
98Coastal Carolina(6-6)874900
99Delaware(6-6)872865
100Rice(5-7)870983
101Florida State(5-7)8681025
102Kent State(5-7)844860
103UAB(4-8)843994
104Virginia Tech(3-9)8421058
105North Carolina(4-8)842963
106Eastern Michigan(4-8)837851
107Tulsa(4-8)836910
108Colorado(3-9)8241112
109Arkansas(2-10)8201108
110South Alabama(4-8)820905
111Akron(5-7)817789
112Nevada(3-9)800944
113App State(5-7)799870
114Boston College(2-10)7951019
115Marshall(5-7)795938
116Maryland(4-8)790976
117Middle Tennessee(3-9)784862
118Liberty(4-8)783911
119Wyoming(4-8)758897
120Buffalo(5-7)745846
121Purdue(2-10)7411110
122New Mexico State(4-8)725872
123Ball State(4-8)718895
124San José State(3-9)705949
125Syracuse(3-9)6951076
126Northern Illinois(3-9)692860
127Oklahoma State(1-11)6821059
128Bowling Green(4-8)682837
129Oregon State(2-10)6681000
130Colorado State(2-10)641991
131Charlotte(1-11)6361025
132Sam Houston(2-10)636931
133UL Monroe(3-9)627916
134UTEP(2-10)625867
135Georgia State(1-11)604994
136Massachusetts(0-12)410883
:::
3

Hopefully I have time to sit down and count out the rivalry week pick 'em tonight. But either way we all know the championship weekend lineups, so start picking your picks in your head!

1

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