Spyke
fedia.io

ABC ELECTIONS ANALYST ANTONY GREEN HAS JUST CALLED DICKSON FOR ALI FRANCE.

30

It's important to dispose of old potatoes from your pantry before they start withering and sprouting those gross roots.

5
kbin.earth

Just yesterday I talked to someone from Dickson who was complaining that it felt like a waste of time since Dutton was just going to win. Bet they're pretty happy now.

28
MisterFrogreply
aussie.zone

Thank you to our forebears for this at least, giving us preferential voting so that no matter what we think might happen, we can still vote by our heart!!

11
Dave.reply
aussie.zone

Preferential AND mandatory voting, so that all those, "meh it doesn't make any difference" voters are forced to get out there and at least put their opinion on a ballot paper.

And hats off to the AEC who do a very good job of nudging people to get their details sorted, and for putting in place systems that makes it pretty easy to do so, and for generally making sure that elections are pretty well organised.

AND we have snags and cake stalls for good causes at polling places and it's also done on a Saturday, so might as well get out there and do the thing.

9
aussie.zone

To think that the reason we have preferential voting is because it benefitted the conservative parties of the day...

4

Reminds me of all of the back and forth between optional and full preferential voting at the state level. Usually the change would only happen because the government at the time thought they would benefit from it, only for it to backfire an election cycle or two later.

2

Mate in Sturt SA (The Grub's old seat) was whinging - what's the point, Libs have never lost the seat and probably never will.

Guess which electorate was the only one in SA to have flipped tonight?

6
lemm.ee

Like Canada, I wonder how much the Trump factor played into this.

12
vaguerantreply
fedia.io

Definitely. And while the Liberals have tried to claim they've been unfairly tarred with the orange brush, they deliberately tacked that way and it did not work. You had Dutton threatening to get "the woke agenda" out of school curriculums (notably set by the previous LNP government, so the woke agenda of ... Scott Morrison???) and Jacinta Nampijinpa Price literally saying MAGA.

13

unfairly tarred with the orange brush

Don't forget "hate media", and getting a preference deal with Pauline Hanson...

They really have zero self-awareness.

5

We're basically done at this point, but we can see Dutton very slightly coming back as pre-polls start being counted, but he's so deep in the hole that it's irrelevant.

8:56 PM AEST
29 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor13,23334.5%59.0%
Peter DuttonLiberal National11,75930.7%41.0%
10

Dutton has just officially given his double concession speech for both the federal and local campaigns, against Albanese and Ali France. Polls continue to trickle in, nothing surprising to see.

9:37 PM AEST
32 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor14,86734.3%58.7%
Peter DuttonLiberal National13,46931.1%41.3%
9

ABC updates are sluggish, so I'm switching to the AEC's own count and projections from here.

8:09 AEST
13 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor8,07433.2%57.9%
Peter DuttonLiberal National7,05129.0%42.1%
9

7:25 PM AEST
10 of 41 centres reporting primaries, 2 of 41 reporting preferences.

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor2,27332.7%53.4%
Peter DuttonLiberal National2,17231.3%46.6%
8

8:33 PM AEST
29 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor12,50334.4%59.3%
Peter DuttonLiberal National10,91830.0%40.7%
5

8:20 PM AEST
28 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor9,76633.5%58.3%
Peter DuttonLiberal National8,42828.9%41.7%
5

Second-last update of the night, unless the last one suddenly takes a lot longer. No significant changes, still close on primary/not close on preferences.

EDIT: Actually, I guess we're done, the tracker updated to show 40 of 40 polling stations reporting without the figures actually budging at all. And we're out of here.

12:04 PM AEST
40 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor28,35234.2%56.5%
Peter DuttonLiberal National28,46634.3%43.5%
5

We're coming to the end now, with another recovery for Ali France's primary vote putting the candidates back within spitting distance, with Ali of course well ahead in 2PP.

11:37 PM AEST
38 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor27,66134.1%56.6%
Peter DuttonLiberal National27,71634.2%43.4%
4

Dutton continues to claw back some of the primary vote, but the 2PP refuses to budge thanks to strong showings from Climate 200 independent Ellie Smith and Vinnie Batten from the Greens. I'll include them both in this update to show why the primary votes are so different from the 2PP.

9:57 PM AEST
33 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor19,25434.5%58.7%
Peter DuttonLiberal National18,23532.7%41.3%
Ellie SmithIndependent7,16112.8%N/A
Vinnie BattenThe Greens4,4408.0%N/A

From a four-way perspective, Dutton is thoroughly behind the left/centre-left candidates.

4

9:13 PM AEST
31 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor14,36934.4%59.0%
Peter DuttonLiberal National12,92331.0%41.0%
4

How do you lose an election that bad, I'd retire instantly if that was me, that's gotta be the worst loss the liberal parties ever had ay?

3

Bit of a recovery for Ali France's primary vote in this update as the 2PP softens slightly.

11:22 PM AEST
36 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor21,85633.4%56.5%
Peter DuttonLiberal National22,31334.1%43.5%
3

11:04 PM AEST
35 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor21,43233.3%58.2%
Peter DuttonLiberal National22,02534.2%41.8%
2

And now well get another true horror maybe like Andrew Hastie. A "good ol' god fearing creationist nut job" from WA.

2

Don't stress or anything, he's still out, but for the first time in the night, Dutton has managed to drag his way into the lead for primary votes only. The result after preferences remains practically unchanged.

10:34 PM AEST
34 of 40 centres reporting primaries

NamePartyPrimary%2PP
Ali FranceLabor20,74933.3%58.6%
Peter DuttonLiberal National21,19934.0%41.4%
2

You reached the end