Average person will be 40% poorer if world warms by 4C, new research shows | Experts say previous economic models underestimated impact – as well as likely 'cascading supply chain disruptions'
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/apr/01/average-person-will-be-40-poorer-if-world-warms-by-4c-new-research-showsOpen linkView original on slrpnk.net
Agreed. I'm getting tired of these pencil-pusher reports implying that "the economy" is going to keep chugging along at a reduced rate, as if we can just shuffle around our stock portfolios and weather the storm.
The "Planetary Solvency" report by IFoA is one of the first mainstream papers that's taking a sober look at the climate crisis. If we hit 2°C by 2050, they're seeing a significant likelihood of:
I don't even want to think about 3°C and 4°C scenarios.
My favorite climate consensus roll-eyes is how all the graphs always stop at 2100. As if the heating will just stop at that point and we won't be looking at 6 degrees of warming by 2150. And 8 by 2200.
CO2 stays in the atmosphere for at least 500 years. There's no getting off this train.
The one dependable thing has always been that all models end up underestimating results. "Worse/faster than expected" was never funny, but now it's so cliche that I don't even see it mentioned much anymore.
There goes my avacado toast stocks
Half of planet's population dead is more like it.
We are going to be 40% poorer regardless.