Thanks for the response!
You're one of the first people to give feedback on it, so there's a few points I tried to make in the original post that, in retrospect, might have benefitted from some rewording.
The only benefit I see in this scoring system, is that it allows voters to express their degree of support with their candidate, rather than just their ordering of support as found in ranking systems.
Basically, the system you’ve proposed adds additional incentive to gathering “a majority support”, and no additional benefit beyond that.
I'll start with responding to this statement, since this is I think where the key of the argument for my system is, and then respond to everything else in-order.
The core of my argument was supposed to be that:
- Score Voting on its own incentivizes exceeding majority support within the electorate of a single Score Voting election, and
- Given that Score (or cardinal systems in general) have those incentives, turning the Parliamentary election into a single nationwide Score election gives that nationwide election the same incentives of Score Voting
But evidently I need to rework my presentation.
The big idea
The basic idea behind Score (and Cardinal systems in general) is that multiple competing candidates can have the support of concurrent majorities.
Eg. Candidate A can have 70% support, and Candidate B can also have 70% support at the same time, because whatever the voters gave to Candidate A, the ballots do not prevent them from giving the same support to Candidate B. This distribution could come from:
- 70% of the electorate strongly approve of A and B,
- 30% approve of A only; 30% of B only; 40% approve of both A and B,
- 100% gave A and B a 7/10,
- or some other combination.
So the incentive to exceed a majority is that once you have a majority, sure, you're now eligible for the winner-take-all mechanism, but you're not necessarily the only one eligible for it. So a candidate can believe they have 60% support, but knowing a competitor can also have 60% support at the same time, they are forced to broaden their campaign to 70% support, or 80% support, or as high as they can make it go until the next vote gained is two votes lost.
Whereas in FPTP, voters can support only one choice (meaning voters' support is exclusive, so majority = win), and in ranked systems, the general philosophy is to support your first choice exclusively (again, majority = win) unless the first choice would be a wasted vote, in which case they move on to their second choice.
I think my argument may have been more clear had I described the system with Approval Voting, which allows voters to approve of multiple candidates but not to describe how much they prefer one approved candidate to another, and then said in a footnote that Score Voting has the added bonus of 'degrees of support', but that this bonus isn't required to create the overall incentive structure I describe.
The short of it is that your electoral system looks very similar to MMP. I’m not saying that’s good or bad, just is.
I somewhat agree.
They look similar in terms of what seats exist - both systems have 2-member constituencies, with one member assigned by the results of a local ballots, and another member assigned by the results of all ballots nationwide.
But my system differs in terms of how the seats are assigned, and what ballots the voters are given: In MMP, voters get a first-preference ballot, with mine, voters get a Score ballot, and the national seats are 'winner-take-all' rather than proportional.
I think we (MMP and I) both converged on the "each constituency gets two MPs" because we're both responding to the same perceived demand, in Canada at least, for equal distribution of political power among constituencies in Parliament.
51 of 100 of seats in said parliament are needed to form government
This isn’t quite right. What’s necessary to form government is to command the confidence of the (lower) house, in order to maintain “supply” (which is funding to the government). So only budget bills need a majority.
I'll concede that my statement did simplify reality.
I also recognize there may be some situations where the opposition can team up with parties in a governing coalition to get something passed that one of the 'main coalition partners' opposes - I think there were a few cases where that happened since the last election, but can't recall which.
But I think the general idea, that you need a majority in order to get anything done, and no more than a majority to get something done, still stands - confidence of the HoC, and bills in general, are both measured by majority votes. So a group that has a majority of seats effectively wields the full power of the HoC, as long as they can keep just that majority.
And I think that this continues to be true even in PR.
What doesn’t make sense to me: what’s the relevance of this 50% barrier for national seats? There is no basis in legitimacy.
TBH I picked it arbitrarily. It could be 40%, or 60%. That barrier came from balancing the following:
- If the most popular party has a very low score, say 25%, then the nation has some genuine and serious divisions, and it would be better to make the MPs deliberate to form policy than to give one party all the power
- Without a winner-take-all segment there's no incentive for a party or coalition to exceed 50% support, so if a popular party has a very high score, say 75%, then it should win a winner-take-all segment, or else nobody will bother trying to achieve that high score.
- The above two points mean that somewhere between say 25% and 75% the winner-take-all segment has to be "phased in".
- Having all of the winner-take-all seats 'kick in' at 50% was easier to describe than trying to define a 'graduated schedule' where the most popular party gets X seats at 40%, 2X seats at 50%, 3X seats at 60%, etc., and trying to describe how to balance 'equal constituency weight' with all of that.
If a national party receives a 50% score, this does not mean that 50% of the voters agree with said party. For example, if 60% of voters score a national party 4/9, and 40% score 6/9, would that mean most voters don’t agree with the party, yet the party would be eligible to hold 50% of the electorate? Apologies if the math is off, but I’m trying to demonstrate a scenario where most don’t actually like the party, but a “small” minority overrides the majority.
(emphasis on edits mine for personal preference in distinguishing score-votes from rank-votes)
I'll agree that a national party with those votes is nobody's first choice. But what what those scores do represent is a party that is broadly tolerable or barely passing. Which is a better approval rating than I think most governments get.
I think this is more of a philosophical question of, which of the following is better:
- A party that 60% of the country gives 8/9 to, and 40% gives 0/9 to, or
- A party that 60% of the country gives 4/9 to, and 40% gives 6/9?
The math of those two options end up both giving equal averages of 48/90.
As a side note, I think the scale of 0 to 9 from my original proposal may not be the most intuitive scale - votes out of 10 would probably have been better - but just about any scale works.
The simplest form of Score Voting, Approval Voting, just has a scale of "Agree / Disagree".
Like a FPTP ballot, except you can approve of more candidates than one.
So having an average support of 51% with Approval ballots maps pretty neatly to "A majority approves"; then Score effectively gives voters the ability to give partial approvals.
The only benefit I see in this scoring system, is that it allows voters to express their degree of support with their candidate, rather than just their ordering of support as found in ranking systems.
Basically, the system you’ve proposed adds additional incentive to gathering “a majority support”, and no additional benefit beyond that.
Score lets voters support multiple candidates simultaneously, so multiple candidates can have a majority at the same time, so once two or more candidates achieve concurrent majorities, they have to then compete for the largest majority.
Ignoring my 'winner-take-all eligibility threshold', this means that "majority" no longer means "that threshold where you win", it just means "that threshold where some of your supporters probably also supported the other guy too."
Which makes gathering "a majority support" the beginning of the competition, rather than the end.
I hope what I've said about this makes sense and is more clear than in my original post - 'voters support candidates simultaneously' is the keystone of my entire system; if you use a non-Cardinal voting system for the winner-take-all element then you don't get any of "exceed-a-majority" incentive that I describe.
(continued in nested reply)