GDP Growth in Second Quarter Slows to 1.5%, No Evidence of AI Productivity Boom
^a succint highly professional description of the US economy right now as it is monomaniacally leveraged into AI.
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"If we fire all the people, and replace them with AI, we will definitely increase both productivity and earnings"
"Not tested in production? Well I've been testing it and sure it's sure as hell been producing!"
"Shit, I guess this isn't working, let's just hire them back"
"...what do you mean they don't want to come back?"
here's some nerd who calculates that GenAI gives a senior dev a 15% productivity increase, and a junior 25%
https://bjorg.bjornroche.com/management/ai-productivity-gap/
HN correctly calls his numbers bullshit, especially because the time spend reviewing code is unchanged between pre- and post-AI:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49152222
Even if his numbers are correct, it essentially means that software companies are around 10% faster in delivering something, however that something might be even more bug-ridden and slow than before.
I think even if development at an instant is some % faster to start with, it writes the same functionality in more lines of code which will rapidly lead to a cumulative slowdown.
Imagine you are traveling the oregon trail in a wagon and a devil offers you an extra horse but all of its manure has to go into the wagon. Initial speed up followed by a cumulative slowdown. If you keep accepting devil’s deals as your wagon keeps slowing down to a crawl, the progression is governed by a horseshit version of Tsiolkovsky’s equation.
Even then that's extremely charitably assuming that this hypothetical productivity gain is put to good use, with ai-pilled management that's just adding bloat 10% faster with a side of mindless tech debt
But a guy who worked with Elon Musk said 100x productivity soon…
anyways lmfaooo suck it ai bros
wow ok my bad, here is 10 million for your AI startup and DON'T GO ALL "DETAILS" ON ME
Thank you for the donation, I will now invest all 10 million of this into chatbots which are carbon copies of all other chatbots
That so many sites now have you wait a few seconds before showing you the site cant be good for global productivity.