Spyke
piefed.zip

People losing money from betting? Who woulda thunk?

56
lemmy.world

I think the fact that bots are winning makes this whole thing a scam.

22

They could have no bots at all and it would still be an obvious scam lmao.

27

the real $ in prediction markets (unless you have inside info) is in knowing how to arbitrage a spread, making a bot to do so is pretty straitforward.

that's how the majority of the stock market works as well, the biggest casino in town.

8

Yep exactly how gambling works. Most people lose. But gamblers think they are special and they will be one of the few who win.

11

Not an unexpected outcome, but it's notably worse than with classic casino gambling because of the always-available model those firms have.

2

I still can't believe prediction markets exist. Every bet requires a counterparty and information asymetry means its not a market, its a killing field going up against rigged bets just like this.

Billie, you're a genius

Enough to be a fool

A fool to gamble everything

And never know the rules

Some of us can only live

In songs of love and trouble

Some of us can only live in bubbles

  • The Magnetic Fields - My only friend
4

You reached the end

Most Prediction Market Traders Are Losing Money While Bots Rack Up Gains | Data from millions of accounts shows that trading and profits are dominated by a tiny slice of highly active accounts. | Spyke