Why is it always transphobia with these kinds of people... is it because they feel racism is too risky? So they need a different outlet for hating on people based on what they believe is "science"?

that “90%” of the audience was “on [Tucker’s] side” but had been unwilling to admit it.

Why are transphobes always this full of shit. Polls always disagree with this, and it cant be 'people are afraid to speak out out of fear', as there seem to be very little consequences to just being a lowkey transphobe. Hell even raging transphobes who stalk people, assault kids, and call for violence in what can only be called a life destroying obsession with trans people get defended by the people in power. There is very little reason for people to lie on polls over this.

Also dislike the focus on 'trans women' as these whole shitty arguments forget trans men exist. (This seems to be a general problem sadly, trans men, same as intersex people, or detransitioners tend to be only brought up like gotcha arguments, and not much to discuss the different problems they also face. Obv, I'm also doing that here, so I'm not immune)

I am extremely, extremely sickos.png for having all these weird little fucks find out that all this nonsense is heavily subsidised by VCs

replacing ChatGPT with a script that replies "Great, I'll finish that for you by ${Date.Now() + 86400}"

>50 min read  
>”why company has perverse incentives”
>no mention of capitalism

rationalism.mpeg

Others were alarmed and advocated internally against scaling large language models. But these were not AGI safety researchers, but critical AI researchers, like Dr. Timnit Gebru.

Here we see rationalists approaching dangerously close to self-awareness and recognizing their whole concept of "AI safety" as marketing copy.

My guess would be because most people don’t understand what you all actually do so gen AI output looks to them like their impression of the work you do. Just look at the game studios replacing concept artists with Midjourney, not grasping what concept art even is for and screwing up everyone’s workflow as a result.

I’m neither a programmer nor an artist I can sorta understand how people get fooled. Show me a snippet of nonsense code or image and I’ll nod along if you say it’s good. But then as a writer (even if only hobbyist) I am able to see how godawful gen AI writing is whereas some non-writers won’t, and so I extrapolate from that since it’s not good at the thing I have domain expertise in, it probably isn’t good at the things I don’t understand.

shoutouts to @[email protected] and @[email protected] for reminding me that Steve Klabnik being really shitty isn’t a temporary state of affairs

Oh Abundance, the repackaging of Reaganomics by liberals to court conservatives, is having a conference and has booked right wing speakers? Nobody could have predicted this

Putting this into the current context of LLMs... Given how Eliezer still repeats the "diamondoid bacteria" line in his AI-doom scenarios, even multiple decades after Drexler has both been thoroughly debunked and slightly contributed to inspiring real science, I bet memes of LLM-AGI doom and utopia will last long after the LLM bubble pops.

Indeed great piece, good to document the older history of that stuff as well.

your periodic reminder: don't listen to Garry Tan, unless maybe he's doing a tequila review

Where the fuck has that guy been for 20 years? I've seen that happen many times with junior programmers during my 20 years of experience.

I love it giving the temperature in Europe. Down to a decimal, even.

The blatant covering for the confabulated zip code is some peak boosterism. It knows what an address looks like and that some kind of postal code has to go there, and while it was pretty close I would still expect that to get returned to sender. Pretty close isn't good enough.

Does somebody have a rundown or something on DJB? All of the tantrum throwing has me confused over what his deal is.

Procreate, a digital painting software for iPads, has not just avoided AI, they even have an anti-GenAI statement on their website.

Gonna cheat a little bit and put one-woman consultancy firm/personal blog deadSimpleTech up as an example. The sole member is Iris Meredith, whose involvement begins and ends at publicly lambasting AI's continued shittiness.

it's almost as funny as when one time chatbot told vibecoder to learn to code

Out: 'getting paid in exposure'

In: 'when you are done, just send your invoice to chatgpt'

The trigger for activating the backdoor in Gayfemboy is the character string "meowmeow".

Whisper meow meow to your femboy to get access to his backdoor... is this malware the blackhat equivalent of a shitpost?

Such sofisticated methods, and then they drop crypto miners.

96% accuracy. So... unusable. That is an extremely high rate of failure.

Imagine how often it triggers on just people talking about hearts of iron 4 alone.

E: read more about it:

we achieved a 94.8% detection rate for nuclear weapons queries and zero false positives

'zero false positives' Sure bud.

why is everything about these people so fucking stupid

access to nukes is limited by availability of fissile material. not maths of it, not supremely complex engineering because it's not that hard, not by money, not by access to ores, not anything else. it just requires one of two very specific, expensive and slightly dangerous to operate facilities which is well within budget of any serious state actor and unless diplomatic or military action is taken, a state that decides to get nukes will get them. this is the case now and has been for the last 50 years or so

but yeah some idiots wowed by chatbot will Save the World. this also puts that weird block on claude's biology topic filter in much stupider and doomerist light e: it does not escape my attention that thehill ran an article based entirely on anthropic blog post

Its a real fun subreddit if you’re into that kind of thing.

Shamelessly reproduced from the other place:

A quick summary of his last three posts:

"Here's a thought experiment I came up with to try to justify the murder of tens of thousands of children."

"Lots of people got mad at me for my last post; have you considered that being mad at me makes me the victim and you a Nazi?"

"I'm actually winning so much right now: it's very normal that people keep worriedly speculating that I've suffered some sort of mental breakdown."

I’m even grateful, in a way, to SneerClub, and to Woit and his minions. I’m grateful to them for so dramatically confirming that I’m not delusional: some portion of the world really is out to get me. I probably overestimated their power, but not their malevolence. […]

Honestly what he should actually be grateful for is how all his notoriety ever amounted to^[1]^ was a couple of obscure forums going 'look at this dumb asshole' and moving on.

He is an insecure and toxic serial overreactor with shit opinions and a huge unpopular-young-nerd chip on his shoulder, and who comes off as being one mildly concerted troll effort away from a psych ward at all times. And probably not even that, judging from Graham Linehan's life trajectory.

[1] besides Siskind using him to broaden his influence on incels and gamer gaters.

Gonna repost a bit from comment I left on reddit:

Read swlabrs reply first btw.

Anyway, something useful perhaps, the World Central Kitchen seems to help out with the famine so donating to them might be useful, see comment below. Donate to the UNRWA organisation instead. Not comfortable donating on a link provided by a random user (smart!), or want something to show for your donation, the current Humble book bundle is donating to the WCK (do not forget to adjust the sliders) and you get a nice collection of Martha Wells books (The Murderbot saga is great). Or buy the play for peace bundle which is donating to the UNRWA USA, and get a shitton of games and other stuff. (All links are affiliate free from my end, I know there is a system setup for Humble stuff, but I don't use that).

E: buying the last one is also a fun way to boost yourself into Spiders Georg levels of video game ownership. So you could do it for that joke alone. Just to claim you own ~300 videogames.

Ultra trivialization is the blood of tech bros. Everything is so easy and everyone else is just so clueless. Boy met computer through hello world and thought that’s the pinnacle of computer science.

How long til some bright eyed influencer dev tries to take on JPL and MISRA? It’s always some middleware garbage these startups make and never a QNX competitor.

“The biggest problem is that it used to take about 50 pages to prove the system works, like a scalpel, but today… that could take 10,000 pages,” Kaminski explained. “And you need to make 10,000 pages every time you make a new version. It’s just really, really difficult to make so much proof as products become more software and AI-driven.”

Methinks that scalpel is a tad simpler than insulin pump, and considering that sometimes, there are unpatchable vulns found in the latter, i'd really prefer not to see vibecoded driver for these kind of things. Would match nicely with vibe-lawyered compliance docs

ah yes, that great mark of certainty and product security, when you have to unleash pitbulls to patrol the completely not dangerous park that everyone can totally feel at ease in

(and of course I bet the damn play is a resource exhaustion attack on critics, isn’t it)

really has turned into Scientology

I didnt know anything about him, not even who he was, but DuckDuckGo search suggestions suggested I search for him and mgtow, so the search engine knew. First link shows he isn't mgtow, he is a masculinist. https://profhugodegaris.wordpress.com/masculisting-the-mgtows/

His wikipage on his beliefs is wild. Legit beliefs skynet or eclipse phases TITANs will attack.

Quote from his site a free book he provides: "MASCULISM : Men’s Rebellion Against Being Manslaves to Women, An e-Textbook of 370+ Masculist Flyers for Men’s Studies Courses”"

Manslaves rise up you have nothing to lose but your money in the divorce as half your stuff was hers anyway.

First thought: "Who?"

Second thought: "No, Hugo"

Anyway, I know nothing about this guy. His wiki page listed an imdb page, and know you get to know that he has a Bacon number of 3.

I love how it’s a public ledger of transactions so once a wallet can be identified to an owner, everyone can see what you’ve done. Not very great system to keep anonymous.

The "solution" crypto-people have for this is to go to a "bitcoin meetup" and give people cash there. Or use an exchange that just ignores the regulation.
I am not going to a fucking crypto-meetup just so I can send someone €10 worth of bitcoin.

What is the Range Rover in this analogy? A common belief about the 2008 Iceland bubble, which may very well not be true but was widely reported, is that Iceland's credit was used to buy luxuries like high-end imported cars; when the bubble burst, many folks supposedly committed insurance fraud by deliberately destroying their own cars which they could no longer afford to finance. (I might suggest that credit bubbles are fundamentally distinct from investment bubbles.)

Mount camera to ceiling, get a green rug, record lying on the ground (jk)

Actual suggestion: maybe mount a roller blind to the ceiling. Might need extra weight to tension the blind but also might not.

Also, you probably don’t need a totally green background, just enough to make masking easier. You could conceivably tape a big sheet of green cardboard to the back of your chair and see how that goes.

Also: idk how hard or easy this is but if the camera position is fixed and the rest of the scene is static, maybe there’s software that can just mask out the static scene?

I know Elgato do a collapsible greenscreen, but that's the only one coming to mind.

Maybe you could paint the wall greenscreen, and hide it behind a tapestry when not in use. Then you wouldn't need a place to store or deploy the screen frame hardware.

edit: froztbyte has a good point! To clarify, I mean only an appropriate square of wall that is in view of the camera. Also, I'm a deranged person that consumes pivot via podcast, so I don't know the layout of the room. A more clever person than I would have checked on that before offering a potentially impractical suggestion.

given the run rates all these fuckers have, I half expect they feel glad it’s “as low as it is”. couple of the authors I’ve seen speak about it reckon pay out better to them (once off) than they tend to get from book royalties (I saw chisnall and some others post around it earlier). precedent from this is probably a good thing, even if I wish it went harder (esp given how likely “a fine you can afford is just a tax” is to develop as a normal situation)

re burn rates: openai confirmed in the last day or so that it expects a $118b burn through 2028. fucking obscene

Chiming in to agree your prediction write-ups aren't particularly good. Sure they spark discussion, but the whole forecasting/prediction game is one we've seen the rationalists play many times, and it is very easy to overlook or at least undercount your misses and over hype your successes.

In general... I think your predictions are too specific and too optimistic...

@[email protected] is coming in a bit hot, but they’re not fundamentally wrong. @[email protected], you’ve received some pointed but good feedback on your writing style recently in MoreWrite and in other threads; I think you’ll be able to make much the same points more persuasively if you incorporate some of that feedback. I also recommend breaking out of doing predictions; I think you might get more mileage and variation out of a journalistic approach, and either way we know from crypto that prediction is a bit of a fool’s errand. these fuckers will remain irrational long after we’ve gone bankrupt, etc.

I’m not gonna force you to do anything; if posts like these are what you’re comfortable with then it is what it is. I just feel like if you break out of your current pattern, you’re capable of achieving great results.

Me, 17 days ago

this really isn't a hard guess

You want my take

probably not

anyone who gets hired for slop cleanup should try to squeeze as much cash out their clients as much as possible

"people should try to get paid well"? that's your whole take? really? you thought this was worthwhile posting? not, maybe, spitballing ideas for how people should get paid well? some advice on how to negotiate with clients who are quite likely to be pennypinching types (evidenced by them trying to get as much as possible for free)? none of that, just more fluff? okay then

Small point, but I heard nitter is run by chuds, xcancel is better.

E: I always get clowdstrike and cloudflare confused, which were the ones who protected the nazis again and which ones were the ones who took down the internet for a day? ;) (Ha, the last page even leaves out this incident)

Is “triangle man” a slur I’m unaware of or a goofy name to be calling someone for whatever reason?