EU's Green Deal improved its climate performance: a 1.5°C pathway is close
https://climateactiontracker.org/blog/eus-green-deal-improved-its-climate-performance-a-15c-pathway-is-close/Open linkView original on slrpnk.net122
Comments9https://climateactiontracker.org/blog/eus-green-deal-improved-its-climate-performance-a-15c-pathway-is-close/Open linkView original on slrpnk.net
Sound like bullshit. We already had +1.45°C last year¹ and even if we completely stopped emitting anything at all, our excessive emissions from the past will certainly cause the temperature to rise over 1.5°C. The emissions path for 1.5°C would need to be negative very soon or maybe even years ago.
¹ https://wmo.int/media/news/wmo-confirms-2023-smashes-global-temperature-record
To go into negative emissions we just have to ramp up carbon capture and sequestering...
looks at all the past and current CCS and DAC prototypes so far
Oh no...
CCS is right now as feasible as fusion.
You see if we get fusion working we can use that energy to capture carbon... /s
That's Star Trek levels of optimism right there.
The average of all estimates are a little above 2.0°C with a ± of 1.5°C or so. And not all these estimates are equally reliable. We can't just take the average of all predictions thinking that's the most likely outcome.
Aren't we already sitting pretty comfortable at about 1.7°C at the moment though?
No. As of right now we have hit 1.5C and 1.7C is the upper limit of current estimates and as such unlikely. However we probably break thorugh that soon as well.
monkeys are cooking out of the trees in mexico and it's not even the hottest part of summer yet.
1.5c was gone years ago.