If Max Verstappen, keeps wining the next races, by round 17, Qatar Grand Prix, he will secure the title.
With the current 255 points and a 99 points lead over Sergio Pérez, and a assuming maximum points to both drives as first and second.
Max Verstappen will have a 148 point lead after Qatar Grand Prix, and only 146 maximum points reaming for the last 5 laps.
But based on the average point of Sergio Pérez, with 11 points for the last 5 rounds, it will be secured but round 16, Japanese Grand Prix.
| going in Remaing | Max | Sergio Pérez avg, 11 points | delta | Sergio Pérez 18 + 7 spint | delta | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hungarian Grand Prix | 344 | 255 | 156 | 99 | 156 | 99 |
| Belgian Grand Prix | 318 | 281 | 167 | 114 | 174 | 107 |
| Dutch Grand Prix | 284 | 315 | 178 | 137 | 199 | 116 |
| Italian Grand Prix | 258 | 341 | 189 | 152 | 217 | 124 |
| Singapore Grand Prix | 232 | 367 | 200 | 167 | 235 | 132 |
| Japanese Grand Prix | 206 | 393 | 211 | 182 | 253 | 140 |
| Qatar Grand Prix | 180 | 419 | 222 | 197 | 271 | 148 |
| United States Grand Prix | 146 | 453 | 233 | 220 | 296 | 157 |
| Mexico City Grand Prix | 112 | 487 | 244 | 243 | 321 | 166 |
| São Paulo Grand Prix | 86 | 513 | 255 | 258 | 339 | 174 |
| Las Vegas Grand Prix | 52 | 547 | 266 | 281 | 364 | 183 |
| Abu Dhabi Grand Prix | 26 | 573 | 277 | 296 | 382 | 191 |
| 599 | 288 | 311 | 400 | 199 |
7 replies
Solid breakdown, I wonder how quick it happens if Perez DNF's?
About the same, Lewis Hamilton or Fernando Alonso will then advance to 2th place.
Qatar is a sprint round, so there is 34 points for that round, and only 21 points to Fernando Alonso.
I guess we might as well get this over with
I’m dying at the thought of 6 pointless races lol I guess there’s still money to fight over and wind tunnel time for next year but most people won’t sit on the edge of the couch excited over 3% more wind tunnel time
I've been wondering at which point a team would go "it's not worth it to race for us, we already won" in some shape or form (like retiring every single race)
I mean, you'd get another huge surge of coverage for doing that, so the marketing might like it.
Yea it would depend on how the sponsors would take it. Also think the fia/fom/others would get pissed
I saw elsewhere that Max could finish P2 every race here on out and still win the championship