Threat modelling tip: instead of a grand catastrophe, consider two simultaneous inconveniences
cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ca/post/1165015
A lot of prepper content seems to wrongly focus on grand sudden events-Hollywood-style collapses of society or environment. The reality, from the fall of Rome to Lebanon this century, is that collapse is usually a slow crumbling where the things people rely on become less and less reliable.
A useful intuition pump is to do your threat modelling with two likely events that, if they happened separately, would only be inconveniences, but together pose a serious threat.
For example:
- Your kid is away at summer camp and there’s a gasoline supply shock.
- A storm washes out your road and your dad gets readmitted to the hospital.
- There’s a wildfire and your car battery is dead.
What are the two most likely inconveniences given your loved ones and where you live?
Stuck in a freeway traffic jam with no gas stations (restrooms and restaurants too) nearby.
Actually also, the lockdowns we had from the pandemic had been one way to stress-test preps. No easy way to go out and but groceries? Simple, just consume from your food stocks.
Always add in the modifier "and you have to poop."
Gotta be prepared to poop.